Real Betis
La Liga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Champions League 2026-27
#22 in the title oddsTop 24 counts every league-phase finish inside the knockout places, so the eight clubs that skip the play-off round are in it too. Top 8 is the separate direct route to the last 16. Points and finish are league-phase numbers, conditional on playing it.
10,000 simulated seasons · updated Sep 04, 2026.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #4 of 20 58.4 expected pts · currently 6 pts after 3 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #5 of 20 in La Liga 60 pts · 15W-15D-8L · GD +11
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Real Betis?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 31 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Real Betis's results were 4.9% harder to call than the La Liga average. How this is measured.
| Market | Real Betis | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 51.6% | 51.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 61.3% | 58.6% |
| Both teams to score | 67.7% | 56.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | La Liga | #7 | 1518 | 1545 | 1516 |
| 2025-26 | La Liga | #3 | 1502 | 1604 | 1564 |
| 2024-25 | La Liga | #6 | 1498 | 1608 | 1570 |
| 2023-24 | La Liga | #8 | 1529 | 1577 | 1530 |
| 2022-23 | La Liga | #6 | 1522 | 1582 | 1528 |
| 2021-22 | La Liga | #5 | 1502 | 1607 | 1568 |
| 2020-21 | La Liga | #5 | 1529 | 1608 | 1608 |
| 2019-20 | La Liga | #18 | 1471 | 1522 | 1404 |
| 2018-19 | La Liga | #12 | 1466 | 1549 | 1475 |
| 2017-18 | La Liga | #6 | 1480 | 1616 | 1538 |
| 2016-17 | La Liga | #15 | 1477 | 1502 | 1405 |
| 2015-16 | La Liga | #11 | 1498 | 1530 | 1463 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | at Barcelona | L Real Betis 12.1% · draw 13.9% | L ✓ |
| May 12, 2026 | vs Elche | W Real Betis 62.9% · draw 18.9% | W ✓ |
| May 09, 2026 | at Real Sociedad | L Real Betis 33.0% · draw 24.4% | D ✗ |
| May 03, 2026 | vs Real Oviedo | W Real Betis 62.8% · draw 18.9% | W ✓ |
| Apr 24, 2026 | vs Real Madrid | L Real Betis 24.1% · draw 21.3% | D ✗ |
| Apr 21, 2026 | at Girona | W Real Betis 41.7% · draw 25.8% | W ✓ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | at Osasuna | W Real Betis 37.6% · draw 26.0% | D ✗ |
| Apr 04, 2026 | vs Espanyol | W Real Betis 54.9% · draw 22.1% | D ✗ |
| Mar 22, 2026 | at Athletic Bilbao | L Real Betis 36.0% · draw 25.5% | L ✓ |
| Mar 15, 2026 | vs Celta Vigo | W Real Betis 51.5% · draw 23.5% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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