Ligue 1 2024-2025: Nice vs Montpellier Prediction - 23 Feb 2025
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Nice
Home Team
89%
VS
Montpellier
Away Team
5%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5:
61%
Under 2.5:
39%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Nice | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Monaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 38 |
| 6 | Lyon | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 36 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Lens | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 33 |
| 9 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
| 11 | Angers | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Rennes | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 | Reims | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
| 15 | Nantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
| 16 | St Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 17 |
| 18 | Montpellier | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Nice
- Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 2)
Montpellier
- Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Nice
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.12
# Clean Sheets:
2
Montpellier
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.59
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Nice and Montpellier at the Allianz Riviera looks to heavily favor the home side, with an 89% probability of victory for Nice. Montpellier, in contrast, has a slim 5% chance of securing a win. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 6%. Currently, Nice occupies the third position in the Ligue 1 standings, while Montpellier finds themselves languishing at the bottom, in 18th place. With a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored, an action-packed match is anticipated.
Match Analysis
Nice's recent performances have been promising, as they come into this fixture with two wins and a draw from their last three matches. Notably, they secured a 3-1 win away at Le Havre and kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 victory against Lens at home. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by an average of 2.2 goals scored per game in their last five outings, and defensively, they've been solid, conceding just 0.8 goals on average per game.
On the other hand, Montpellier's form has been dismal, suffering three consecutive losses. Despite their recent struggles, they have shown some attacking intent, with an expected goals average of 1.372 over the past five games, although their actual goal-scoring average sits at a mere 0.4. Defensively, Montpellier has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, which poses a significant challenge against a high-flying Nice.
Final Prediction
Nice appears to have a clear edge in this encounter, driven by their solid form and consistent goal-scoring capabilities. The home advantage and their position as a leading team in the league further bolster their chances of securing a win. Fans should keep an eye on Nice's attacking play, which has been a key factor in their recent success and could well be the deciding element in this match.
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