Ligue 1 2024-2025: Rennes vs Paris SG Prediction - 8 Mar 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Rennes

Home Team
8%
VS

Paris SG

Away Team
84%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 24 19 5 0 66 23 43 62
2 Marseille 24 15 4 5 52 29 23 49
3 Nice 24 13 7 4 49 28 21 46
4 Monaco 24 13 4 7 48 31 17 43
5 Lille 24 11 8 5 39 27 12 41
6 Lyon 24 11 6 7 44 31 13 39
7 Strasbourg 24 10 7 7 38 32 6 37
8 Toulouse 24 9 6 9 31 26 5 33
9 Lens 24 9 6 9 29 29 0 33
10 Brest 24 10 3 11 36 40 -4 33
11 Rennes 24 9 2 13 34 32 2 29
12 Auxerre 24 7 7 10 34 38 -4 28
13 Angers 24 7 6 11 26 38 -12 27
14 Nantes 24 5 9 10 28 42 -14 24
15 Reims 24 5 7 12 26 38 -12 22
16 Le Havre 24 6 2 16 23 50 -27 20
17 St Etienne 24 5 4 15 24 56 -32 19
18 Montpellier 24 4 3 17 21 58 -37 15

Recent Trends

Rennes W W L W W

  • Last Match: W vs Montpellier (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs St Etienne (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Strasbourg (Goals: 1 - 0)

Paris SG W W W W W

  • Last Match: W vs Lille (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Monaco (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Brest (Goals: 5 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Rennes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.71
# Clean Sheets: 4

Paris SG

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.61
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Rennes and Paris SG is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors, with Paris SG having an 84.0% probability of winning. The game is expected to have more than 2.5 goals, with a 64.0% chance of this happening. Paris SG is currently sitting comfortably at the top of the Ligue 1 standings, while Rennes is positioned at 11th.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Rennes has shown mixed performances. They secured two victories against Montpellier and Reims, each with a clean sheet, but suffered a loss to Lille. Rennes' defense has managed to keep four clean sheets in their last five games, showcasing their ability to stifle opponents. However, they have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals per match over the same period, despite an expected goals average of 1.588. On the other hand, Paris SG continues to demonstrate their dominance in Ligue 1. They've won their last three games, scoring a total of eight goals, including decisive victories against Lille and Lyon. Paris SG's formidable attacking prowess is evident as they average 3.0 goals per game. While they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals, their offensive firepower, led by their ability to create numerous scoring opportunities with an expected goals average of 2.722, keeps them ahead of the competition.

Final Prediction

Paris SG's superior attacking form and consistent performances give them a significant edge over Rennes. Their ability to score goals in abundance, combined with Rennes' recent defensive vulnerabilities, suggests that Paris SG is well-positioned to secure another victory. A key factor to watch will be Paris SG's attacking strategy and whether Rennes can manage another clean sheet to mitigate their offensive threats.

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