Rennes
Ligue 1 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #3 of 18 54.8 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full Ligue 1 simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #6 of 18 in Ligue 1 59 pts · 17W–8D–9L · GD +9
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Ligue 1 simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Rennes?
Chaos club 2025-26 · 26 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Rennes's results were 11.5% harder to call than the Ligue 1 average. How this is measured.
| Market | Rennes | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 38.5% | 47.2% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 69.2% | 55.7% |
| Both teams to score | 53.8% | 48.6% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 1518 | 1623 | 1600 |
| 2024-25 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 1522 | 1522 | 1481 |
| 2023-24 | Ligue 1 | #11 | 1523 | 1576 | 1484 |
| 2022-23 | Ligue 1 | #3 | 1471 | 1611 | 1593 |
| 2021-22 | Ligue 1 | #5 | 1498 | 1626 | 1598 |
| 2020-21 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 1502 | 1603 | 1525 |
| 2019-20 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 1529 | 1590 | 1581 |
| 2018-19 | Ligue 1 | #7 | 1480 | 1561 | 1527 |
| 2017-18 | Ligue 1 | #5 | 1502 | 1598 | 1592 |
| 2016-17 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 1482 | 1551 | 1470 |
| 2015-16 | Ligue 1 | #15 | 1482 | 1584 | 1457 |
| 2014-15 | Ligue 1 | #14 | 1480 | 1581 | 1449 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 03, 2026 | at Lyon | L Rennes 22.9% · draw 22.1% | L ✓ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | at Strasbourg | L Rennes 20.5% · draw 20.4% | W ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Angers | W Rennes 77.6% · draw 12.2% | W ✓ |
| Apr 04, 2026 | at Brest | W Rennes 46.0% · draw 24.2% | W ✓ |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs Metz | W Rennes 77.9% · draw 12.1% | D ✗ |
| Mar 15, 2026 | vs Lille | L Rennes 28.5% · draw 22.6% | L ✓ |
| Mar 08, 2026 | at Nice | L Rennes 20.2% · draw 20.3% | W ✗ |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs Toulouse | L Rennes 35.1% · draw 24.5% | W ✗ |
| Feb 22, 2026 | at Auxerre | L Rennes 27.0% · draw 24.6% | W ✗ |
| Feb 13, 2026 | vs Paris Saint-Germain | L Rennes 19.2% · draw 18.1% | W ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Ligue 1 title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/rennes">Ligue 1 title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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