Premier League 2025-2026: Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction - 23 Nov 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Arsenal

Home Team
87%
VS

Tottenham

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 47%
No Goal: 53%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 20 5 15 26
2 Man City 11 7 1 3 23 8 15 22
3 Chelsea 11 6 2 3 21 11 10 20
4 Sunderland 11 5 4 2 14 10 4 19
5 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 19 10 9 18
6 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 13 10 3 18
7 Man United 11 5 3 3 19 18 1 18
8 Liverpool 11 6 0 5 18 17 1 18
9 Bournemouth 11 5 3 3 17 18 -1 18
10 Crystal Palace 11 4 5 2 14 9 5 17
11 Brighton 11 4 4 3 17 15 2 16
12 Brentford 11 5 1 5 17 17 0 16
13 Everton 11 4 3 4 12 13 -1 15
14 Newcastle 11 3 3 5 11 14 -3 12
15 Fulham 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
16 Leeds 11 3 2 6 10 20 -10 11
17 Burnley 11 3 1 7 14 22 -8 10
18 West Ham 11 3 1 7 13 23 -10 10
19 Nott'm Forest 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9
20 Wolves 11 0 2 9 7 25 -18 2

Recent Trends

Arsenal D W W W W

  • Last Match: D vs Sunderland (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)

Tottenham D L W L W

  • Last Match: D vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Everton (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Leeds (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Arsenal

xG (avg) 2.05
xGA (avg) 0.56
Clean Sheets 4

Tottenham

xG (avg) 1.35
xGA (avg) 1.26
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Arsenal and Tottenham is heavily tipped in favor of the home team, with an 87% probability of Arsenal securing the victory. The match is also expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 45% probability of under 2.5 goals being scored. Arsenal currently sits at the top of the Premier League table, while Tottenham is positioned fifth, fighting to maintain their Champions League spot.

Match Analysis

Arsenal comes into this match with a strong performance record, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three games. Their defense has been particularly impressive, with four clean sheets in their last five matches, and they've conceded an average of just 0.2 goals per game. Offensively, Arsenal has shown consistency, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last five outings. Tottenham, on the other hand, has had mixed results recently, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three encounters. They managed a commanding 3-0 victory over Everton away but faltered against Chelsea at home. Advanced metrics reveal that Arsenal's expected goals (xG) scored and conceded are favorable, standing at 2.052 and 0.556, respectively. Tottenham, while scoring an average of 2.4 goals, has an expected goals scored of 1.352, indicating some overperformance. Defensively, Arsenal's solidity is underscored by their number of clean sheets, whereas Tottenham's defense shows vulnerability with an expected goals conceded rate of 1.264.

Final Prediction

Arsenal's formidable defense and consistent goal-scoring prowess give them a decisive edge in this fixture. Their top-of-the-table position is reflective of their superior form and tactical discipline. A key factor to watch will be Arsenal's ability to maintain their defensive solidity against Tottenham's attacking threats, which could prove crucial in determining the match outcome.

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