Premier League 2025-2026: Burnley vs Fulham Prediction
Burnley
Home Team
22%
VS
Fulham
Away Team
60%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Man United | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Everton | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 | Brentford | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Leeds | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 15 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 | West Ham | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 33 | -25 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Burnley
- Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 3)
Fulham
- Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 4 - 5)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Burnley
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.68
# Clean Sheets:
0
Fulham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.76
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Burnley and Fulham sees the away team, Fulham, as the strong favorite with a 60.0% probability of winning. In contrast, Burnley's chances of securing a victory at home stand at just 22.0%. The game is predicted to feature over 2.5 goals with a 50.0% likelihood. Currently, Fulham is positioned 15th in the Premier League standings, while Burnley is struggling in 19th place, fighting to avoid relegation.
Match Analysis
Both teams come into this fixture with unsatisfactory recent performances. Burnley has suffered three consecutive losses, with their most recent defeat being a 1-2 away loss to Newcastle. Burnley has struggled both offensively and defensively, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2 over the last five matches. Their expected goals metrics reveal potential underperformance, with 0.832 expected goals scored and 1.678 expected goals conceded per game.
Fulham, on the other hand, has shown a bit more promise, securing a notable 2-1 victory against Tottenham away from home in their last three matches. However, their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. They have managed to score an average of 1.0 goal per match, with 0.844 expected goals. Despite their defensive vulnerabilities, Fulham's ability to find the back of the net gives them an edge over Burnley.
Final Prediction
Fulham's superior attacking form and recent victory against Tottenham suggest they have the upper hand against a struggling Burnley side. Burnley’s inability to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches further tilts the balance in Fulham's favor. A key factor to watch in this game will be Fulham's offensive output, which could determine whether they secure the expected victory.