Premier League 2025-2026: Fulham vs Man City Prediction

Fulham

Home Team
16%
VS

Man City

Away Team
69%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 13 9 3 1 25 7 18 30
2 Man City 13 8 1 4 27 12 15 25
3 Chelsea 13 7 3 3 24 12 12 24
4 Aston Villa 13 7 3 3 16 11 5 24
5 Brighton 13 6 4 3 21 16 5 22
6 Sunderland 13 6 4 3 17 13 4 22
7 Man United 13 6 3 4 21 20 1 21
8 Liverpool 13 7 0 6 20 20 0 21
9 Crystal Palace 13 5 5 3 17 11 6 20
10 Brentford 13 6 1 6 21 20 1 19
11 Bournemouth 13 5 4 4 21 23 -2 19
12 Tottenham 13 5 3 5 21 16 5 18
13 Newcastle 13 5 3 5 17 16 1 18
14 Everton 13 5 3 5 14 17 -3 18
15 Fulham 13 5 2 6 15 17 -2 17
16 Nott'm Forest 13 3 3 7 13 22 -9 12
17 West Ham 13 3 2 8 15 27 -12 11
18 Leeds 13 3 2 8 13 25 -12 11
19 Burnley 13 3 1 9 15 27 -12 10
20 Wolves 13 0 2 11 7 28 -21 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.83
# Clean Sheets: 2

Man City

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Premier League match, Manchester City is favored to secure a victory against Fulham with a 69.0% probability. The game is expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 53.0% chance of this outcome. Manchester City currently sits in 2nd place in the league, while Fulham holds the 15th position.

Match Analysis

Fulham has experienced mixed results in their last three matches, securing wins against Tottenham and Sunderland but suffering a defeat against Everton. Their recent performances show promise, especially in goal-scoring, averaging 1.6 goals per game while maintaining a solid defensive record with an average of 0.4 goals conceded. Fulham's ability to keep clean sheets in two of their last five games highlights their defensive resilience. On the other hand, Manchester City has demonstrated their attacking prowess, particularly at home, with significant victories over Leeds and Liverpool. However, their away form has shown vulnerability, evident from their loss against Newcastle. Despite averaging only 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings, City's expected goals statistic of 1.636 suggests they are creating more chances than their goal tally indicates. Defensively, they have allowed 1.2 goals on average, which could be a concern against an opportunistic Fulham side.

Final Prediction

Manchester City is poised to leverage their attacking strength and league standing to edge out Fulham. The key factor to watch will be City's ability to convert their chances into goals, as their expected goals metric suggests they are capable of more than their recent goal-scoring form. With Fulham's recent defensive displays, this match promises an intriguing clash of tactical acumen and execution.