Premier League 2024-2025: Leicester vs Man United Prediction - 16 Mar 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Leicester

Home Team
18%
VS

Man United

Away Team
67%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 28 15 10 3 52 24 28 55
3 Nott'm Forest 28 15 6 7 45 33 12 51
4 Chelsea 28 14 7 7 53 36 17 49
5 Man City 28 14 5 9 53 38 15 47
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 28 12 10 6 46 40 6 46
8 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
9 Bournemouth 28 12 8 8 47 34 13 44
10 Fulham 28 11 9 8 41 38 3 42
11 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
12 Brentford 28 11 5 12 48 44 4 38
13 Tottenham 28 10 4 14 55 41 14 34
14 Man United 28 9 7 12 34 40 -6 34
15 Everton 28 7 12 9 31 35 -4 33
16 West Ham 28 9 6 13 32 48 -16 33
17 Wolves 28 6 5 17 38 57 -19 23
18 Ipswich 28 3 8 17 26 58 -32 17
19 Leicester 28 4 5 19 25 62 -37 17
20 Southampton 28 2 3 23 20 68 -48 9

Recent Trends

Leicester L L L L L

  • Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs West Ham (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 4)

Man United D W D L L

  • Last Match: D vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Ipswich (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.00
# Clean Sheets: 0

Man United

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.66
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Premier League clash between Leicester City and Manchester United is heavily tipped in favor of the away team. With a 67.0% probability, Manchester United is predicted to secure victory against Leicester, who have a mere 18.0% chance of winning. The match is expected to be high-scoring, with a 58.0% probability of over 2.5 goals. Currently, Manchester United sits in 14th place, while Leicester languishes in 19th, making this a vital match for both teams for different reasons.

Match Analysis

Leicester City's recent form has been dismal, suffering three consecutive losses, failing to score a single goal while conceding seven. Their struggles are compounded by their inability to maintain defensive solidity, as highlighted by a zero clean sheet record in their last five matches. With an average of 0.0 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded per game over their previous five fixtures, Leicester's attack and defense are both areas of concern. The team's expected goals statistics indicate some potential for improvement, suggesting they could be underperforming compared to their chances created. In contrast, Manchester United has shown a mix of resilience and vulnerability. Their recent matches include a draw against Arsenal, a win over Ipswich, and another draw with Everton. United averages one goal per game while conceding 1.4, indicating a slightly better defensive record than Leicester but still leaving room for improvement. The team's expected goals stats suggest they're slightly underachieving in front of goal while being somewhat fortunate defensively. With no clean sheets in their last five outings, United will need to tighten up at the back.

Final Prediction

Manchester United's superior league position and recent performances provide them with a clear edge over Leicester City. The Red Devils' ability to score and their slightly better defensive record, despite not keeping clean sheets, tip the balance in their favor. A key factor to watch will be United's ability to convert chances, as their expected goals suggest they might be due for improved attacking output. Leicester, meanwhile, will need to defy the odds and find both defensive resilience and attacking sharpness to avoid slipping further into relegation danger.

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