Ipswich
Championship · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #2 of 24 in Championship 84 pts · 23W–15D–8L · GD +33
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Championship simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Ipswich?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Ipswich's results were 7.0% easier to call than the Championship average. How this is measured.
| Market | Ipswich | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 48.8% | 45.9% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 48.8% | 51.0% |
| Both teams to score | 46.3% | 52.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Championship | #3 | 1502 | 1674 | 1648 |
| 2024-25 | Premier League | #19 | 1467 | 1467 | 1272 |
| 2023-24 | Championship | #1 | 1429 | 1667 | 1651 |
| 2022-23 | League One | #1 | 1554 | 1776 | 1767 |
| 2021-22 | League One | #9 | 1492 | 1617 | 1569 |
| 2020-21 | League One | #11 | 1498 | 1573 | 1492 |
| 2019-20 | League One | #14 | 1531 | 1656 | 1448 |
| 2018-19 | Championship | #22 | 1470 | 1470 | 1355 |
| 2017-18 | Championship | #15 | 1470 | 1550 | 1462 |
| 2016-17 | Championship | #20 | 1535 | 1535 | 1442 |
| 2015-16 | Championship | #8 | 1550 | 1610 | 1528 |
| 2014-15 | Championship | #8 | 1551 | 1691 | 1559 |
| 2013-14 | Championship | #10 | 1518 | 1580 | 1545 |
| 2012-13 | Championship | #5 | 1486 | 1565 | 1536 |
| 2011-12 | Championship | #14 | 1525 | 1546 | 1484 |
| 2010-11 | Championship | #14 | 1532 | 1570 | 1487 |
| 2009-10 | Championship | #14 | 1530 | 1546 | 1496 |
| 2008-09 | Championship | #6 | 1510 | 1593 | 1573 |
| 2007-08 | Championship | #7 | 1547 | 1574 | 1552 |
| 2006-07 | Championship | #11 | 1419 | 1523 | 1523 |
| 2005-06 | Championship | #20 | 1518 | 1543 | 1423 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | vs QPR | W Ipswich 68.6% · draw 18.3% | W ✓ |
| Apr 28, 2026 | at Southampton | L Ipswich 26.6% · draw 29.2% | D ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at West Brom | W Ipswich 38.9% · draw 30.0% | D ✗ |
| Apr 22, 2026 | at Charlton | W Ipswich 49.8% · draw 25.2% | W ✓ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | vs Middlesbrough | W Ipswich 47.2% · draw 28.6% | D ✗ |
| Apr 14, 2026 | at Portsmouth | W Ipswich 48.5% · draw 26.6% | L ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Norwich | W Ipswich 43.7% · draw 28.4% | W ✓ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs Birmingham | W Ipswich 71.1% · draw 18.3% | W ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Millwall | W Ipswich 65.2% · draw 21.9% | D ✗ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Sheffield Wednesday | W Ipswich 73.9% · draw 14.4% | W ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Championship title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/ipswich">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/ipswich">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>