Premier League 2025-2026: Man City vs Brighton Prediction
Man City
Home Team
88%
VS
Brighton
Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Man City | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 42 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 42 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 31 |
| 6 | Man United | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Brentford | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 30 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 29 |
| 10 | Brighton | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Fulham | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 28 |
| 13 | Tottenham | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 27 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 23 |
| 16 | Leeds | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
| 18 | West Ham | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 14 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 12 |
| 20 | Wolves | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 40 | -26 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Man City
- Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 3 - 0)
Brighton
- Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Man City
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.29
# Clean Sheets:
3
Brighton
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.81
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Manchester City and Brighton is heavily tilted in favor of the home side, with an 88% probability of a City victory. The likelihood of the match surpassing 2.5 goals stands at 55%, suggesting an open game with plenty of attacking action. Currently, Manchester City is positioned second in the Premier League, while Brighton sits in 10th place.
Match Analysis
Manchester City's recent performances have been a mix of results, with one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three matches. A key victory came against Nott'm Forest where they managed a 2-1 win on the road. Despite a scoreless draw away to Sunderland and a 1-1 home draw against Chelsea, City has demonstrated offensive prowess with an average of 2.6 goals scored in their last five games. Defensively, they have been solid as well, keeping three clean sheets in the same period.
Brighton, on the other hand, has shown resilience but inconsistency. Their last three games included a strong 2-0 home win against Burnley, a 2-2 draw away at West Ham, and a narrow 2-1 defeat to league leaders Arsenal. The Seagulls have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded over their last five outings. While their expected goals metrics indicate they create decent chances, their defensive vulnerabilities could be a concern against City's potent attack.
Final Prediction
Manchester City holds a significant advantage going into this match, largely due to their superior attacking statistics and defensive solidity. The combination of their recent form and Brighton's defensive frailties could prove decisive. One key factor to watch will be City's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could set the tone for a high-scoring encounter.