Premier League 2025-2026: Man City vs Leeds Prediction
Man City
Home Team
90%
VS
Leeds
Away Team
4%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Man City | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Brighton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 10 | Man United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Everton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Fulham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Leeds | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 | Burnley | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Man City
- Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 0)
Leeds
- Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Man City
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.95
# Clean Sheets:
2
Leeds
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.67
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Premier League clash between Manchester City and Leeds is heavily tipped in favor of the home side. With a staggering 90% probability of victory, Manchester City is expected to secure a win against Leeds, who have just a 4% chance of taking the three points. The match is also predicted to see over 2.5 goals scored, with a 56% likelihood. Currently, Manchester City sits in 3rd place, while Leeds is struggling in 18th position, fighting against relegation.
Match Analysis
Manchester City enters this game with mixed recent form, having secured two wins in their last three outings, including a convincing 3-0 home victory against Liverpool. Their only blemish came in a 2-1 away defeat to Newcastle. City’s attacking prowess is evident with an average of 3.2 goals scored in their last five matches and a solid defense conceding just 0.4 goals per game. They have also maintained two clean sheets recently, showcasing their defensive resilience.
Leeds, on the other hand, are enduring a rough patch with three consecutive losses. They have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in their last five matches and failing to keep a clean sheet. Offensively, Leeds has only managed to score 0.8 goals per game, significantly lower than their opponent. Key metrics, such as expected goals, also highlight Leeds' difficulties, with a modest 0.88 expected goals per game compared to City’s 2.358.
Final Prediction
Manchester City's superior form and attacking efficiency give them a clear edge in this encounter. Their ability to score freely and maintain a strong defensive line makes them the favorites. A key factor to watch will be how Leeds' defense handles City’s potent attack, particularly given Leeds' recent vulnerability at the back. This matchup is poised to test Leeds' resilience as they strive to avoid slipping further into the relegation zone.