Premier League 2025-2026: Newcastle vs Burnley Prediction
Newcastle
Home Team
93%
VS
Burnley
Away Team
3%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Man United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Everton | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Brentford | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
| 17 | Leeds | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 29 | -22 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Newcastle
- Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 3)
Burnley
- Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Newcastle
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.49
# Clean Sheets:
0
Burnley
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.85
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Newcastle and Burnley heavily favors the home team, Newcastle, with a staggering 93% probability of winning. The predicted outcome suggests an exciting match with over 2.5 goals likely to be scored, backed by a 56% chance. Currently sitting at 12th in the Premier League, Newcastle looks to climb the ranks, while Burnley struggles at 19th, facing potential relegation.
Match Analysis
Newcastle comes into this game with a positive momentum, unbeaten in their last three outings. They recently secured a crucial victory against Manchester City at home and convincingly defeated Everton away. Their attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five appearances, supported by a solid expected goals average of 2.326. However, their defense remains a concern as they have yet to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals.
Burnley, on the other hand, is in a challenging phase, having lost all their last three fixtures. They failed to score in two of these games, highlighting a struggle in the attacking department, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game. Defensively, Burnley has been porous, conceding an alarming 3 goals per match in recent outings. Their expected goals conceded average of 2.846 further underscores their defensive frailties, making it a tough task to secure points against a resurgent Newcastle side.
Final Prediction
Newcastle's recent form and superior attacking metrics give them a significant edge over Burnley. The Magpies' ability to score and capitalize on opportunities should be a decisive factor in this encounter. Keep an eye on Newcastle's offensive transitions, which could exploit Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.