League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
February 03, 2026
Burton vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.1% (Burton)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 37.7% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 03, 2026
Barnsley vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.0% (Barnsley)
Draw: 26.1%
Away Win: 25.0% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.2%
No Goal: 56.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 03, 2026
Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.0% (Port Vale)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 23.5% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.3%
Under: 54.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.6%
No Goal: 56.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Northampton vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.5% (Northampton)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 36.8% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.1%
Under: 55.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.9%
No Goal: 52.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Exeter vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.4% (Exeter)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 26.7% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.3%
Under: 55.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.7%
No Goal: 53.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.0% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 27.0%
Away Win: 47.1% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.7%
Under: 57.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.4%
No Goal: 53.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Bradford vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Bradford)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 31.1% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Barnsley vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.0% (Barnsley)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 33.5% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.6%
Under: 59.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.6%
No Goal: 55.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 31, 2026
Burton vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 22.2% (Burton)
Draw: 25.0%
Away Win: 52.8% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.9%
Under: 50.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 31, 2026
Mansfield vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.0% (Mansfield)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 38.9% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 39.2%
Under: 60.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.8%
No Goal: 54.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Leyton Orient vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 32.7% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Luton vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.0% (Luton)
Draw: 26.1%
Away Win: 18.9% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Peterboro vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.7% (Peterboro)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 41.2% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.4%
Under: 54.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.9%
No Goal: 47.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 31, 2026
Stockport vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.9% (Stockport)
Draw: 27.4%
Away Win: 18.7% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 31, 2026
Wigan vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.3% (Wigan)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 40.0% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.3%
Under: 56.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.8%
No Goal: 51.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 27, 2026
Plymouth vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.8% (Plymouth)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 24.0% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 27, 2026
Bolton vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 74.7% (Bolton)
Draw: 17.0%
Away Win: 8.3% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.0%
Under: 48.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.1%
No Goal: 52.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 27, 2026
Cardiff vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 63.4% (Cardiff)
Draw: 21.0%
Away Win: 15.6% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.4%
Under: 48.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.2%
No Goal: 48.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 27, 2026
Huddersfield vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.9% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 28.2% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.1%
Under: 45.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.3%
No Goal: 48.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 27, 2026
Lincoln vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.8% (Lincoln)
Draw: 29.6%
Away Win: 27.5% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 27, 2026
Blackpool vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.9% (Blackpool)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 35.2% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.8%
Under: 57.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 27, 2026
Rotherham vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.2% (Rotherham)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 32.6% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 27, 2026
Stevenage vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.5% (Stevenage)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 22.2% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.9%
Under: 56.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 27, 2026
Wycombe vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 57.5% (Wycombe)
Draw: 25.2%
Away Win: 17.3% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.7%
No Goal: 53.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 27, 2026
Doncaster vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.6% (Doncaster)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 30.5% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.4%
Under: 48.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.9%
No Goal: 48.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 27, 2026
Reading vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.5% (Reading)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 24.3% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.5%
Under: 58.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.3%
No Goal: 55.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Cardiff vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.2% (Cardiff)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 22.6% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.9%
Under: 53.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.4%
No Goal: 46.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Huddersfield vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.3% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 27.9% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 24, 2026
Plymouth vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.9% (Plymouth)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 41.1% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.9%
Under: 51.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 24, 2026
Doncaster vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.9% (Doncaster)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 28.1% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.4%
Under: 50.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.4%
No Goal: 53.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal