League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
April 21, 2026
Rotherham vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 23.7% (Rotherham)
Draw: 26.3%
Away Win: 50.0% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 21, 2026
Doncaster vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.1% (Doncaster)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 39.1% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.2%
Under: 56.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.5%
No Goal: 52.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 21, 2026
Bradford vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.3% (Bradford)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 29.3% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.8%
Under: 51.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.3%
No Goal: 43.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 19, 2026
Port Vale vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.0% (Port Vale)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 41.0% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.0%
Under: 58.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 19, 2026
Peterboro vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.1% (Peterboro)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 33.7% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Stevenage vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.5% (Stevenage)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 43.9% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 37.8%
Under: 62.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.8%
No Goal: 55.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Reading vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 24.6% (Reading)
Draw: 26.8%
Away Win: 48.6% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.1%
Under: 49.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.2%
No Goal: 46.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Northampton vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.6% (Northampton)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 41.6% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.7%
Under: 56.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.9%
No Goal: 53.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Mansfield vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.5% (Mansfield)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 36.8% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.0%
Under: 58.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Leyton Orient vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.3% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 26.7%
Away Win: 23.1% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.2%
Under: 50.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.9%
No Goal: 55.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 18, 2026
Exeter vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.7% (Exeter)
Draw: 27.6%
Away Win: 45.8% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.0%
Under: 48.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.6% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 28.1%
Away Win: 44.3% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.7%
Under: 46.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.4%
No Goal: 42.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Bolton vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.2% (Bolton)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 24.1% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.2%
Under: 45.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.0%
No Goal: 46.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Barnsley vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.4% (Barnsley)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 35.9% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.8%
Under: 50.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Wycombe vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.8% (Wycombe)
Draw: 26.3%
Away Win: 19.9% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.6%
No Goal: 52.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 16, 2026
Peterboro vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.4% (Peterboro)
Draw: 29.6%
Away Win: 33.0% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.1%
No Goal: 54.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 15, 2026
Luton vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 82.0% (Luton)
Draw: 11.4%
Away Win: 6.6% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.3%
Under: 50.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.0%
No Goal: 57.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 15, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.4% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 42.0% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.7%
Under: 45.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 14, 2026
Huddersfield vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.3% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 28.4%
Away Win: 44.3% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.0%
No Goal: 44.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 14, 2026
Leyton Orient vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.4% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 33.0% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 14, 2026
Bolton vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.1% (Bolton)
Draw: 27.5%
Away Win: 19.4% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.3%
No Goal: 55.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 14, 2026
Port Vale vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.4% (Port Vale)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 38.1% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 14, 2026
Wigan vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.4% (Wigan)
Draw: 25.3%
Away Win: 21.2% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.6%
Under: 56.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 41.2%
No Goal: 58.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Wigan vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.4% (Wigan)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 31.3% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.7%
Under: 57.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.6%
No Goal: 55.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 11, 2026
Rotherham vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.4% (Rotherham)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 36.2% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.2%
Under: 47.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 11, 2026
Huddersfield vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.7% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 25.9% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 11, 2026
Doncaster vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.7% (Doncaster)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 29.8% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.3%
Under: 54.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.5%
No Goal: 53.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Burton vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.9% (Burton)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 26.9% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.2%
Under: 50.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Bradford vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.2% (Bradford)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 26.0% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.0%
Under: 59.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.9%
No Goal: 56.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Blackpool vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.3% (Blackpool)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 24.7% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.4%
Under: 44.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal