League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
April 11, 2026
Plymouth vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.0% (Plymouth)
Draw: 23.9%
Away Win: 18.1% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.9%
Under: 49.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 11, 2026
Lincoln vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 73.9% (Lincoln)
Draw: 16.8%
Away Win: 9.3% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 11, 2026
Cardiff vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.7% (Cardiff)
Draw: 26.3%
Away Win: 20.0% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.9%
Under: 46.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 60.5%
No Goal: 39.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 07, 2026
Port Vale vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.7% (Port Vale)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 33.9% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.6%
No Goal: 55.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 06, 2026
Bolton vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.6% (Bolton)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 22.7% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.4%
Under: 44.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.8%
No Goal: 46.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Exeter vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.6% (Exeter)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 36.5% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.1%
Under: 56.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.5%
No Goal: 53.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 06, 2026
Mansfield vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.7% (Mansfield)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 26.8% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.5%
Under: 53.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.1%
No Goal: 52.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 06, 2026
Barnsley vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.5% (Barnsley)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 34.3% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.9%
Under: 46.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.2%
No Goal: 44.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 06, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.9% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 36.7% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.8%
No Goal: 47.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 06, 2026
Leyton Orient vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.5% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 34.5% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.9%
No Goal: 48.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Peterboro vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 22.6% (Peterboro)
Draw: 25.1%
Away Win: 52.3% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.7%
Under: 46.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.4%
No Goal: 42.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Northampton vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.9% (Northampton)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 39.0% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.2%
No Goal: 53.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Reading vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.5% (Reading)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 45.7% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Stevenage vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 61.5% (Stevenage)
Draw: 24.8%
Away Win: 13.8% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.2%
Under: 59.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 42.4%
No Goal: 57.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 06, 2026
Wycombe vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.4% (Wycombe)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 32.2% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.4%
Under: 52.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.6%
No Goal: 48.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 72.3% (Lincoln)
Draw: 17.1%
Away Win: 10.6% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.9%
Under: 47.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 03, 2026
Doncaster vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.4% (Doncaster)
Draw: 31.8%
Away Win: 29.9% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.3%
Under: 58.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.0%
No Goal: 52.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 03, 2026
Bradford vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 77.4% (Bradford)
Draw: 14.2%
Away Win: 8.4% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.9%
Under: 48.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.7%
No Goal: 54.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 03, 2026
Burton vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.1% (Burton)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 31.8% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Huddersfield vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.1% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 24.1% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Blackpool vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.1% (Blackpool)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 28.0% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.3%
No Goal: 52.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 03, 2026
Luton vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.1% (Luton)
Draw: 26.1%
Away Win: 20.7% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.7%
No Goal: 47.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Plymouth vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.6% (Plymouth)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 42.6% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.2%
Under: 47.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.6%
No Goal: 43.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Rotherham vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.4% (Rotherham)
Draw: 28.3%
Away Win: 44.3% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.5%
Under: 57.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.2%
No Goal: 54.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 03, 2026
Stockport vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.8% (Stockport)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 27.2% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.6%
Under: 51.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 02, 2026
Wigan vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.4% (Wigan)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 27.8% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 28, 2026
Blackpool vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.7% (Blackpool)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 34.1% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.8%
Under: 48.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.9%
No Goal: 51.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 28, 2026
Exeter vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.8% (Exeter)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 35.1% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 28, 2026
Reading vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.5% (Reading)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 33.7% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.4%
Under: 54.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 28, 2026
Stockport vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.9% (Stockport)
Draw: 26.3%
Away Win: 20.8% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.4%
Under: 45.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.4%
No Goal: 47.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal