League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
March 28, 2026
Wycombe vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 63.1% (Wycombe)
Draw: 22.7%
Away Win: 14.3% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.7%
No Goal: 56.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 24, 2026
Doncaster vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.7% (Doncaster)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 21.3% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.8%
Under: 58.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.3%
No Goal: 55.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
Lincoln vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 75.0% (Lincoln)
Draw: 15.7%
Away Win: 9.3% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.3%
No Goal: 52.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
Cardiff vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 79.4% (Cardiff)
Draw: 12.8%
Away Win: 7.7% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.9%
Under: 45.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.7%
No Goal: 48.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 31.5% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.9%
Under: 51.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.0%
No Goal: 47.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 21, 2026
Barnsley vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.8% (Barnsley)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 33.0% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.6%
Under: 49.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
Burton vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.5% (Burton)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 39.4% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.6%
Under: 53.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 21, 2026
Leyton Orient vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.2% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 35.1% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.9%
No Goal: 48.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
Luton vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.0% (Luton)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 29.4% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.1%
Under: 55.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 21, 2026
Mansfield vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 60.3% (Mansfield)
Draw: 23.2%
Away Win: 16.5% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.6%
No Goal: 55.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 21, 2026
Port Vale vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 19.3% (Port Vale)
Draw: 21.8%
Away Win: 58.9% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.4%
No Goal: 46.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
Stevenage vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.7% (Stevenage)
Draw: 28.4%
Away Win: 18.9% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.9%
Under: 53.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.3%
No Goal: 52.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
Plymouth vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.6% (Plymouth)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 33.9% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.1%
No Goal: 46.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 21, 2026
Wigan vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.8% (Wigan)
Draw: 28.1%
Away Win: 21.1% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.8%
No Goal: 54.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 17, 2026
Cardiff vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 57.4% (Cardiff)
Draw: 24.7%
Away Win: 18.0% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.4%
Under: 47.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.1%
No Goal: 43.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 17, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.4% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 27.4% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.5%
Under: 53.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 17, 2026
Blackpool vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.2% (Blackpool)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 33.4% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.3%
No Goal: 53.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 17, 2026
Bolton vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 65.0% (Bolton)
Draw: 21.2%
Away Win: 13.8% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 17, 2026
Bradford vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.2% (Bradford)
Draw: 27.2%
Away Win: 21.5% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.9%
Under: 56.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.5%
No Goal: 52.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 17, 2026
Burton vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Burton)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 30.4% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.3%
Under: 51.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.1%
No Goal: 50.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 17, 2026
Huddersfield vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.3% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 33.4% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 17, 2026
Luton vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 57.2% (Luton)
Draw: 24.6%
Away Win: 18.2% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.4%
No Goal: 54.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 17, 2026
Peterboro vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.4% (Peterboro)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 28.6% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.0%
Under: 47.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 17, 2026
Plymouth vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.1% (Plymouth)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 32.6% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 17, 2026
Stockport vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 63.0% (Stockport)
Draw: 21.1%
Away Win: 15.9% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.4%
No Goal: 56.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 17, 2026
Barnsley vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.5% (Barnsley)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 29.9% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.4%
No Goal: 51.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Mansfield vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.1% (Mansfield)
Draw: 27.1%
Away Win: 20.8% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Lincoln vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.5% (Lincoln)
Draw: 24.8%
Away Win: 18.7% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.3%
No Goal: 46.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Rotherham vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 23.9% (Rotherham)
Draw: 25.9%
Away Win: 50.2% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.9%
Under: 52.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Doncaster vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.2% (Doncaster)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 25.1% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.8%
Under: 57.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.9%
No Goal: 53.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal