NBA 2024-2025: Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies

Home Team
32.2%
108.6 pts
VS

Oklahoma City Thunder

Away Team
67.8%
114.0 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 67.8%, and the expected scoreline stands at 114.0-108.6 in their favor. The Memphis Grizzlies' starting five includes Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, Luke Kennard, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Zach Edey. On the Thunder's side, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein are expected to start.

Game Analysis

The Memphis Grizzlies have endured a tough stretch against the Oklahoma City Thunder, losing their last three encounters with scores of 108-114, 99-118, and 80-131. These results highlight a concerning trend for the Grizzlies, who have struggled to keep up with the Thunder's offensive prowess. In contrast, the Thunder have been dominant, consistently putting up high scores and showcasing their offensive depth. Examining the starting rosters, Memphis' players have a mix of offensive and defensive ratings, with Zach Edey boasting the highest offensive rating of 125.8, while Jaren Jackson Jr. leads in scoring with an average of 21.99 points per game. However, their collective defensive ratings suggest vulnerabilities that the Thunder could exploit. Oklahoma City, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's impressive offensive rating of 128.7 and his average of 32.37 points per game, has a more balanced and efficient lineup. The Thunder's defensive ratings are notably strong, with Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein providing stout defensive support.

Final Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder hold the edge due to their recent dominance over the Memphis Grizzlies and their potent offensive lineup. A key factor to watch during the game will be Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's ability to lead the Thunder's attack and whether Memphis can find a way to counter his influence effectively.