Sebastian Ofner

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1460 · #659 Hard #705 Clay #83 Grass #79 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

97-107 47.5% in 204 matches

Clay 50-46
Grass 23-16
Hard 24-45

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 17 5-12 1546 1615 1460
2025 30 15-15 1554 1790 1553
2024 40 17-23 1605 1660 1535
2023 34 20-14 1529 1766 1674
2022 13 9-4 1535 1706 1656
2021 19 10-9 1541 1588 1513
2020 7 3-4 1533 1570 1534
2019 12 3-9 1528 1575 1432
2018 16 5-11 1539 1554 1409
2017 14 9-5 1517 1751 1640
2016 2 1-1 1500 1522 1508

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Kei Nishikori L 1-2
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Marco Trungelliti L 1-2
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Jacob Fearnley L 0-2
Jul 20, 2026 Kitzbuhel · Clay Alex Molcan L 0-2
Jul 13, 2026 Bastad · Clay Thiago Agustin Tirante L 0-2
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Hubert Hurkacz L 0-3
Hamad Medjedovic W 3-2
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Luciano Darderi L 0-3
May 17, 2026 Geneva · Clay Kilian Feldbausch L 0-2
May 06, 2026 Rome · Clay Jannik Sinner L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Sebastian Ofner?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 8.0 actual vs 8.6 projected
3.47 our average miss per match
4.17 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+17% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 18 of the 23 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Sebastian Ofner follow the script?

On serve · 2025
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2025 23 9-14 56.5% 10 vs 9.0 exp On serve
2024 bt 38 15-23 52.6% 18 vs 14.7 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Sebastian Ofner's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/sebastian-ofner">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)