Eastbourne Great Britain Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

James Duckworth vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

James Duckworth

Rank: #106
36%
VS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #28
64%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ranking Trends

James Duckworth

  • Current Rank: #106 (2025-06-23)
  • 3 Months Ago: #95 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #82 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #72 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #78 (2024-06-24)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Current Rank: #28 (2025-06-23)
  • 3 Months Ago: #39 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #61 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #64 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #36 (2024-06-24)

Player Metrics

James Duckworth

Form Index: 50.2
ELO Rating: 495.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1552.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 345.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 4.1
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 83.8

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 52.4
ELO Rating: 1409.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1684.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 93.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.6
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 6.9
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

James Duckworth
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-1) grass Eastbourne 141 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Johannus Monday (2-0) grass Eastbourne 68 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Henry Searle (2-1) grass Eastbourne 136 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Christopher O'Connell (0-2) grass London 76 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Justin Engel (1-2) grass Stuttgart 149 min

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-0) grass Eastbourne 93 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jiri Lehecka (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) clay Hamburg 106 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Gael Monfils (2-0) clay Hamburg 83 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
James Duckworth
vs
0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Eastbourne tournament on grass, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is set to face James Duckworth. The predicted winner is Davidovich Fokina, with a probability of winning at 64.23%, while Duckworth has a 35.77% chance of success. The expected total number of games played in this match is 24.0.

Match Analysis

James Duckworth, currently ranked 106, has a form index of 50.17 and an Elo rating of 495.30. His fatigue level stands at 345 minutes, indicating a significant amount of court time this tournament. On grass, his surface strength index is moderately low at 5.66. In comparison, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, ranked 28, has a better form index of 52.43 and a much higher Elo rating of 1409. His fatigue is considerably lower at 93 minutes, and he boasts a surface strength index of 6.86. Notably, Davidovich Fokina's mean return index (87.08) exceeds Duckworth's (83.79) by more than 5 points, which could play a crucial role in the match dynamics. In their recent performances, Duckworth has won all three of his previous matches in Eastbourne, showcasing resilience despite his fatigue. His last victory was a hard-fought win against Aleksandar Vukic, where he won 2 sets to 1. Conversely, Davidovich Fokina has had a mixed bag, winning his last match against Chun-Hsin Tseng convincingly, while experiencing a loss in a recent clay match at Roland Garros. This could impact his confidence but does not overshadow his overall better performance on grass.

Final Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's superior ranking, lower fatigue, and higher surface strength index give him a notable advantage over James Duckworth in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Davidovich Fokina's ability to capitalize on return opportunities, as his stronger mean return index could prove decisive in determining the match outcome.