Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Rank: #1000
26%
VS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #26
74%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Player Metrics

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Form Index: 74.7
ELO Rating: 321.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1547.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.0
Clay: 3.7
Grass: 1.6
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 84.9

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 40.0
ELO Rating: 1412.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1684.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.6
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 6.8
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

  • Last Match: vs Vilius Gaubas (1-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Dalibor Svrcina (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex Bolt (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (0-2) clay Roland Garros 135 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Lukas Klein (1-2) clay Madrid 132 min

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) clay Hamburg 106 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (2-0) clay Hamburg 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (0-1) clay Rome 66 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) clay Madrid 164 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-0) clay Madrid 73 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
vs
0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The first-round match at Roland Garros between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is set on the clay surface, a favored ground for both players. The prediction favors Alejandro Davidovich Fokina as the winner, with a probability of 74.11%, while Pablo Llamas Ruiz has a 25.89% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 37.

Match Analysis

Pablo Llamas Ruiz, currently ranked 1000, shows a form index of 74.72 and an Elo rating of 321.30, indicating a player still finding their footing at this level. His cumulative fatigue stands at 522 minutes, likely impacting his performance against a more seasoned opponent. On the other hand, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, ranked 26, has a significantly higher Elo rating of 1412.59 and a lower fatigue level of 0 minutes, suggesting he is fresh and ready to compete. The surface strength index further favors Fokina (10.21) compared to Ruiz (3.68), illustrating his superior proficiency on clay. Additionally, the mean serve index is closely matched, but Davidovich Fokina boasts a better mean return index (87.43) compared to Ruiz’s (84.88). Examining their recent performances, Llamas Ruiz has managed to win two out of his last three matches at Roland Garros, showcasing some resilience, although his last match ended in a loss. Conversely, Davidovich Fokina's last outing was a setback as well, losing to Flavio Cobolli, but he did secure a convincing win against Gael Monfils prior to that. Both players have experienced ups and downs, but Fokina's overall consistency and higher ranking provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina’s superior ranking, lower fatigue, and higher surface strength index position him as the more formidable competitor in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how well Llamas Ruiz can handle the pressure and intensity that Fokina is expected to bring on the clay surface.