Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Aleksandar Vukic vs Andrea Vavassori Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #87
69%
VS

Andrea Vavassori

Rank: #334
31%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Vukic

Player Metrics

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 68.2
ELO Rating: 782.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1587.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 371
Surface Strength:
Hard: 22.2
Clay: 11.7
Grass: 17.2
Serve Rating: 69.4
Return Rating: 48.2

Andrea Vavassori

Form Index: 72.3
ELO Rating: 332.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1529.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 290
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.5
Clay: 3.7
Grass: 3.8
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 90.3

Recent Matches

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-0) hard Adelaide 113 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (2-1) hard Adelaide 133 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (2-1) hard Adelaide 125 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) hard Brisbane 60 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (0-2) hard Metz 81 min

Andrea Vavassori

  • Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) hard Adelaide 109 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (2-0) hard Adelaide 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (2-0) hard Adelaide 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) hard Beijing 69 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Beibit Zhukayev (1-2) hard Washington 188 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Aleksandar Vukic
vs
0
Andrea Vavassori
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 of the Adelaide tournament, set on hard courts, Aleksandar Vukic is poised to face Andrea Vavassori. With a predicted win probability of 68.79% for Vukic compared to Vavassori’s 31.21%, the match is expected to be competitive, with an estimated total of 22 games likely to be played.

Match Analysis

Aleksandar Vukic, currently ranked 87, possesses a form index of 68.24 and an Elo rating of 782.91. His fatigue level stands at 371 minutes, reflecting his recent matches in this tournament. Vukic has a surface strength index of 22.19, which illustrates his solid performance on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 69.37 indicates a strong serving capability. In contrast, Andrea Vavassori is ranked 334 and has a higher form index of 72.33. However, his Elo rating of 332.84 suggests a significant gap in overall performance compared to Vukic. Vavassori’s fatigue is slightly lower at 290 minutes, but his surface strength index of 14.46 is a factor that may hinder his effectiveness. Notably, there is a substantial difference in their mean serve index, with Vavassori's impressive 98.33 contrasting sharply with Vukic's. Both players have shown strong recent performances. Vukic has won all three of his last matches, including a straight-sets victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas, showcasing his confidence and form. Vavassori, too, has been dominant, winning his last three matches without dropping a set, including victories over Gabriel Diallo and Thiago Agustin Tirante. This winning streak indicates that both players are in good spirits, but Vukic's higher caliber of opponents faced might give him an edge.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic's advantage stems from his experience and success against stronger competitors, coupled with his superior serve index. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Vukic's serve against Vavassori's return, which could dictate the tempo and outcome of the match.