Tokio Japan Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Damir Dzumhur vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #68
29%
VS

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #93
71%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Vukic

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Player Metrics

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 19.1
ELO Rating: 838.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1555.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.7
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 89.8

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 53.5
ELO Rating: 721.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1566.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 232.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Damir Dzumhur

Aleksandar Vukic

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Damir Dzumhur
vs
1
Aleksandar Vukic
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Tokyo tournament, Damir Dzumhur faces Aleksandar Vukic on hard courts. The predicted winner is Aleksandar Vukic, with a probability of 71.47% to win the match, while Dzumhur has a 28.53% chance. The predicted total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Damir Dzumhur, currently ranked 68, shows a form index of 19.07 and an Elo rating of 838.80. His fatigue level stands at 0, indicating he has not spent significant time on court in this tournament. His surface strength index is moderate at 4.69, while his mean serve index is 95.98 and mean return index is 89.77. In contrast, Aleksandar Vukic, ranked 93, has a higher form index of 53.55 and a lower Elo rating of 721.08. Vukic has accumulated 232 minutes of fatigue, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index is better at 6.96, and he possesses a comparable mean serve index of 96.05 and a lower mean return index of 86.15. The difference between their serve indices is negligible, but Dzumhur's return index exceeds Vukic's by more than 3 points. Over their last three matches, Dzumhur has struggled, losing all three encounters without a win, including recent losses at the Hangzhou and US Open tournaments. Conversely, Vukic has demonstrated resilience by winning his last two matches in Tokyo, showcasing a stronger form and momentum heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic holds the edge due to his recent form and better surface strength index, alongside Dzumhur's ongoing struggles. A key factor to watch will be Vukic's endurance, given his accumulated fatigue, which could impact his performance as the match progresses.

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