Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Aleksandar Vukic vs David Goffin Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #93
49%
VS

David Goffin

Rank: #87
51%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: David Goffin

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Ranking Trends

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current #93 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #83 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #77 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #68 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #92 2024-09-16

David Goffin

  • Current #87 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #50 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #55 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #52 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #64 2024-09-16

Player Metrics

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 28.6
ELO Rating: 679.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1551.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 86.4

David Goffin

Form Index: 8.2
ELO Rating: 876.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1537.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.6
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 89.1

Recent Matches

Aleksandar Vukic
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Stefan Dostanic (0-2) hard Winston Salem 64 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Karl Poling (2-0) hard Winston Salem 74 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Luca Pow (2-0) hard Winston Salem 65 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (0-2) hard Cincinnati 100 min

David Goffin
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Aleksandar Vukic
vs
1
David Goffin
Hard
1 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Hangzhou tournament in China on hard courts, David Goffin is set to face Aleksandar Vukic. The predicted winner is Goffin, with a probability of winning at 51.13%, while Vukic holds a close 48.87%. The match is anticipated to feature around 23 total games.

Match Analysis

David Goffin currently holds a rank of 87, slightly above Vukic, who is ranked 93. Goffin's Elo rating stands at 876.75, significantly higher than Vukic’s 679.45, indicating a more established performance level. However, Vukic boasts a higher surface strength index (6.38) compared to Goffin's (10.04), which might suggest he can adapt well to hard surfaces. Both players show no signs of fatigue, as their cumulative fatigue from the current tournament is at 0.0 minutes. In terms of serve and return capabilities, Goffin's mean serve index (95.25) is marginally lower than Vukic's (97.47), but his mean return index (89.13) surpasses Vukic’s (86.36) by over 5 points. This edge in return strength could play a crucial role in the match. Analyzing their recent performances, both players have struggled, each losing their last three matches. Vukic's last match was a tightly contested affair against Jenson Brooksby, while Goffin has faced tough opponents like Lorenzo Musetti, both ultimately falling short.

Final Prediction

Goffin's higher Elo rating and superior return index provide him with a slight advantage heading into this matchup. The key factor to monitor will be how effectively each player can leverage their serve and return capabilities, particularly Goffin's ability to capitalize on Vukic's returns.

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