Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Aleksandar Vukic vs Marko Topo Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #79
73%
VS

Marko Topo

Rank: #270
27%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Vukic

Player Metrics

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 32.4
ELO Rating: 764.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1564.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.1
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 86.1

Marko Topo

Form Index: 47.9
ELO Rating: 185.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1520.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 219.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.5
Clay: 1.1
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 87.7

Recent Matches

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (0-2) hard Shanghai 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (0-2) hard Shanghai 69 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Tokio 58 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) hard Tokio 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-1) hard Tokio 110 min

Marko Topo

  • Last Match: vs Titouan Droguet (2-1) hard Almaty 122 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Billy Harris (2-0) hard Almaty 97 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Elias Ymer (1-2) clay Hamburg 176 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-1) clay Hamburg 111 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marco Trungelliti (1-2) clay Hamburg 115 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Aleksandar Vukic
vs
0
Marko Topo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Almaty tournament in Kazakhstan, Aleksandar Vukic is set to face Marko Topo on hard courts. With a winning probability of 73.41% for Vukic compared to 26.59% for Topo, the predicted total number of games played is estimated to be 23.

Match Analysis

Aleksandar Vukic, currently ranked 79, presents a formidable challenge with a form index of 32.39 and an Elo rating of 764.84. His surface strength index of 7.15 indicates strong adaptability on hard courts, while a mean serve index of 97.56 and a mean return index of 86.11 further highlight his capabilities. In contrast, Marko Topo, ranked 270, has a higher form index of 47.92 but a significantly lower Elo rating of 185.64. Topo's surface strength index stands at 1.53, reflecting a lesser proficiency on hard courts, and while his mean serve index is decent at 96.11, his mean return index of 87.66 is slightly better than Vukic's. The difference in serve indices (1.45) is not substantial enough to be a decisive factor. Recent performances show that Vukic has struggled, losing his last three matches, including tough encounters against higher-ranked opponents. Conversely, Topo has found some success, winning his last two matches in Almaty, boosting his confidence. However, he also faced fatigue with 219 minutes accumulated in the current tournament, which could affect his performance against Vukic.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic is favored to win primarily due to his higher ranking, better surface adaptability, and superior serve capabilities. A critical factor to watch will be how well Topo manages his fatigue and whether he can capitalize on his recent winning momentum against a player of Vukic's caliber.