Metz France Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Aleksandar Vukic vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #103
35%
VS

Matteo Berrettini

Rank: #61
65%
Predicted Games Played: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Matteo Berrettini

Player Metrics

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 41.5
ELO Rating: 775.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.1
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 86.1

Matteo Berrettini

Form Index: 53.4
ELO Rating: 1478.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1615.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 63.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 14.5
Grass: 11.8
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 84.3

Recent Matches

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Paris 95 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (2-1) hard Paris 113 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Adam Walton (2-1) hard Paris 119 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (1-2) hard Vienna 133 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) hard Almaty 59 min

Matteo Berrettini

  • Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-0) hard Metz 63 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Vienna 103 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-1) hard Vienna 196 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (2-0) hard Vienna 92 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) hard Stockholm 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Aleksandar Vukic
vs
0
Matteo Berrettini
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Metz tournament in France, players Aleksandar Vukic and Matteo Berrettini will compete on hard courts. Berrettini is favored to win this matchup, with a probability of 65.12% compared to Vukic's 34.88%. The predicted total number of games played in the match is estimated to be around 25.

Match Analysis

Aleksandar Vukic currently holds a rank of 103 and has a form index of 41.51, indicating that he has struggled to maintain consistency in recent matches. His Elo rating stands at 775.54, which reflects a relatively lower level of performance compared to his opponent. Vukic's fatigue level is at 0.0 minutes, suggesting he is fresh, while his surface strength index is 7.11, indicating some capability on hard surfaces. Notably, Vukic's mean serve index is 97.24, while his mean return index is 86.13, showing he has a solid serve but is slightly less effective when returning than Berrettini. Conversely, Matteo Berrettini is ranked 61 and has a higher form index of 53.40, demonstrating better recent performance. His Elo rating of 1478.49 indicates a stronger competitive edge. However, Berrettini does have some fatigue, having spent 63 minutes on court in his last match. His surface strength index is significantly higher at 13.05, indicating greater proficiency on hard courts. He boasts a mean serve index of 96.84, which is comparable to Vukic's, but his mean return index of 84.26 is less effective than Vukic's, though the difference is within 5 points.

Final Prediction

Matteo Berrettini's higher rank and better form index provide him with a distinct advantage going into this match. A critical factor to observe will be how Vukic's serve holds up against Berrettini's overall stronger game, especially on hard courts, as it could dictate the flow of the match.