Mallorca Spain Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Alex Michelsen vs Brandon Holt Prediction

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #33
65%
VS

Brandon Holt

Rank: #104
35%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alex Michelsen

Ranking Trends

Alex Michelsen

  • Current Rank: #33 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #33 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #41 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #49 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #62 (2024-06-24)

Brandon Holt

  • Current Rank: #104 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #116 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #198 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #202 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #248 (2024-06-24)

Player Metrics

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 44.9
ELO Rating: 1272.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1596.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 9.9
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 88.8

Brandon Holt

Form Index: 49.4
ELO Rating: 391.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1533.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 340.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.6
Clay: 2.0
Grass: 3.2
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Alex Michelsen
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) grass Halle 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-0) grass Halle 103 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-1) grass Halle 122 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Justin Engel (0-2) grass Stuttgart 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Gael Monfils (2-1) grass Stuttgart 105 min

Brandon Holt
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-1) grass Mallorca 109 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Elias Ymer (2-0) grass Mallorca 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-1) grass Mallorca 135 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs James Trotter (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Denolly (0-2) clay Houston 139 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alex Michelsen
vs
0
Brandon Holt
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 of the Mallorca tournament, set on grass courts, Alex Michelsen is set to face Brandon Holt. With an impressive 65.06% probability of victory, Michelsen comes into the match as the favorite, while Holt's chances stand at 34.94%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Alex Michelsen, currently ranked 33, boasts a strong form index of 44.93, an Elo rating of 1272, and a notable surface strength index of 9.90. With a mean serve index of 97.48 and a mean return index of 88.76, he demonstrates a significant advantage in both serving and returning capabilities. In contrast, Brandon Holt, ranked 104, has a form index of 49.38 and an Elo rating of 391. His fatigue level is notable at 340 minutes, and his surface strength index is considerably lower at 3.22. The difference in mean serve index (over 2 points) and return index (over 2 points) is less than 5 points, indicating that while Michelsen holds a slight edge overall, Holt’s serving and returning capabilities should not be underestimated. Recent performances reveal mixed results for both players. Michelsen's last three matches include a win against Stefanos Tsitsipas and a loss to Daniil Medvedev, showcasing his potential against top-tier opponents. Holt, on the other hand, has secured victories in all his last three matches at the Mallorca tournament, indicating a solid run of form. However, it's important to note that Holt's cumulative fatigue may affect his performance against a fresher Michelsen.

Final Prediction

Michelsen's higher ranking, stronger serve and return indices, coupled with Holt's fatigue, give him a decisive edge going into this match. A key factor to watch will be Michelsen's ability to maintain his serving effectiveness against Holt, particularly in crucial moments of the match.