Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #18
47%
VS

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #33
53%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alex Michelsen

Player Metrics

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 29.5
ELO Rating: 1711.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1723.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 13.5
Grass: 12.5
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 89.2

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 27.2
ELO Rating: 1072.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1576.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 8.5
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (0-2) clay Hamburg 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (2-0) clay Hamburg 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) clay Rome 137 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) clay Rome 76 min

Alex Michelsen

  • Last Match: vs Justin Engel (0-2) grass Stuttgart 77 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (2-1) grass Stuttgart 105 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (1-2) clay Geneva 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (0-1) clay Rome 71 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Cerundolo
vs
0
Alex Michelsen
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match in the Round of 32 at the Halle tournament in Germany features Francisco Cerundolo and Alex Michelsen, taking place on grass, a surface known for its unique playing dynamics. The predicted winner is Alex Michelsen, with a win probability of 52.64% compared to 47.36% for Cerundolo. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is around 22.

Match Analysis

Francisco Cerundolo holds a higher rank at 18, compared to Alex Michelsen's 33, and possesses a slightly better form index (29.47 vs. 27.18). However, Cerundolo's Elo rating of 1711.68 significantly exceeds Michelsen's 1072.41, indicating a more established competitive presence. Both players enter the match without any cumulative fatigue, which could lead to a fresh and energetic contest. On the grass surface, Cerundolo's surface strength index stands at 12.53, while Michelsen’s is lower at 8.48, suggesting that Cerundolo is more adept on this playing field. Although the difference in their mean serve indices is minimal (Cerundolo at 97.08 and Michelsen at 95.97), it is worth noting that Cerundolo has a stronger mean return index (89.24) compared to Michelsen (88.71), though the difference is not significant enough to create a decisive advantage. In their recent performances, Cerundolo has struggled, losing his last two matches, including a first-round exit at Roland Garros. His only recent win came against Pedro Martinez, which may not reflect his current form on grass. On the other hand, Michelsen has shown more promise, having secured a win against Gael Monfils in Stuttgart, although he also faced a loss in his latest match against Justin Engel.

Final Prediction

Alex Michelsen emerges as the predicted winner primarily due to his recent success on grass and a more favorable trajectory in his last few matches. A critical factor to monitor will be how each player adapts to the grass surface, especially considering Cerundolo's relative inexperience compared to Michelsen's recent performances.