Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Alejandro Tabilo vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Alejandro Tabilo

Rank: #75
47%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #16
53%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

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Ranking Trends

Alejandro Tabilo

  • Current #75 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #106 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #35 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #26 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #21 2024-10-21

Alexander Bublik

  • Current #16 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #30 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #75 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #37 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #32 2024-10-21

Player Metrics

Alejandro Tabilo

Form Index: 51.8
ELO Rating: 1304.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.5
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 84.4

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 40.0
ELO Rating: 1676.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1744.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.1
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.9

Recent Matches

Alejandro Tabilo
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Shanghai 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-0) hard Shanghai 77 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Harold Mayot (2-0) hard Shanghai 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jie Cui (2-0) hard Shanghai 114 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Zizou Bergs (1-2) hard Tokio 168 min

Alexander Bublik
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Tabilo
vs
0
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the ATP 500 tournament in Vienna, Alejandro Tabilo faces Alexander Bublik on hard court. The predicted winner is Alexander Bublik, with a probability of winning at 52.62%, while Tabilo holds a 47.38% chance. The forecasted total number of games played is 24.

Match Analysis

Alejandro Tabilo, currently ranked 75, has a form index of 51.85 and an Elo rating of 1304.47. His surface strength index stands at 11.49, indicating a moderate capability on hard courts. Tabilo possesses a mean serve index of 97.41, which is competitive but notably higher than Bublik’s index of 95.52. However, Tabilo’s mean return index of 84.43 is lower than Bublik’s 85.89, indicating that Bublik may have a slight edge in returning serves. Both players have a cumulative fatigue of 0 minutes, suggesting they are equally fresh heading into this match. Recent performances show Tabilo winning 2 out of his last 3 matches, with a notable victory over Marcos Giron. However, he lost his latest match against Felix Auger-Aliassime, which may impact his confidence. Conversely, Bublik has struggled recently, losing his last two matches but secured a win in a previous encounter against Valentin Royer. His recent form has been less favorable, reflected in his form index of 39.98, which is lower than Tabilo's.

Final Prediction

Alexander Bublik's higher ranking and Elo rating provide him with an advantage in this matchup. Despite both players' recent inconsistencies, Bublik's slightly superior return game may prove to be a crucial factor. Observing their service games could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.

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