Kitzbuhel Austria Clay Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Alexander Bublik vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #30
59%
VS

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #110
41%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

Player Metrics

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 64.8
ELO Rating: 1727.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1715.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 73.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.3

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 51.6
ELO Rating: 634.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1583.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 221.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 89.4

Recent Matches

Alexander Bublik

  • Last Match: vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 73 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-1) clay Gstaad 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) clay Gstaad 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) clay Gstaad 71 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Gstaad 61 min

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniel Elahi Galan (2-1) clay Kitzbuhel 135 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) clay Gstaad 61 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (2-0) clay Gstaad 74 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Alexander Bublik
vs
0
Alexander Shevchenko
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at the Kitzbühel tournament in Austria pits Alexander Bublik against Alexander Shevchenko on clay. With a predicted winner in Bublik, he holds a 58.58% probability of victory compared to Shevchenko’s 41.42%. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.

Match Analysis

Alexander Bublik is currently ranked 30th and boasts a form index of 64.80, indicating a strong performance level. His Elo rating stands at 1727, suggesting that he has been competitive against higher-ranked opponents. Fatigue may be a factor with 73 minutes accumulated on court, but his surface strength index of 14.28 reflects a solid adaptation to clay. Notably, Bublik has a mean serve index of 96.98, significantly higher than Shevchenko's 95.31, creating a difference of over 5 points. His mean return index of 86.29 also surpasses Shevchenko's 89.40, although this gap is less than 5 points. In contrast, Alexander Shevchenko, ranked 110, has a form index of 51.60, indicating he has struggled somewhat compared to Bublik. With an Elo rating of 634, his competitive edge is limited. Shevchenko has accumulated 221 minutes of fatigue, which could affect his stamina in this match. In their last three matches, Bublik has shown consistent form with victories in all, including a straightforward win against Shevchenko in Gstaad. Shevchenko, on the other hand, has had mixed results, though he did secure wins against Fucsovics and Galan in Kitzbühel.

Final Prediction

Bublik's higher ranking, superior form index, and better serve strength provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be Bublik’s serving game, as his ability to dominate on serve could dictate the pace and flow of the match.