Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Alexander Bublik vs Tristan Schoolkate Prediction

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #24
73%
VS

Tristan Schoolkate

Rank: #97
27%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

Player Metrics

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 68.4
ELO Rating: 1728.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1736.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.5

Tristan Schoolkate

Form Index: 40.5
ELO Rating: 525.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1535.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.9
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Alexander Bublik

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Botic Van De Zandschulp (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 73 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-1) clay Gstaad 127 min

Tristan Schoolkate

  • Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (0-2) hard Winston Salem 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Cannon Kingsley (2-1) hard Winston Salem 130 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Colton Smith (0-2) hard Cincinnati 97 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (1-2) hard Toronto 129 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (2-0) hard Toronto 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Bublik
vs
0
Tristan Schoolkate
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Alexander Bublik and Tristan Schoolkate at the US Open marks a pivotal clash in the Round of 64 on hard courts. Bublik, currently ranked 24, is favored to win with a probability of 73.20%, while Schoolkate, ranked 97, has a 26.80% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is 36.0, suggesting an engaging matchup.

Match Analysis

Alexander Bublik brings a solid form index of 68.43 and an Elo rating of 1728.39, indicating he is performing well and possesses a higher level of skill relative to his opponent. His surface strength index of 9.63 showcases his proficiency on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 97.05 highlights his strong serving capability. This is evident in the 5-point difference in mean serve index compared to Schoolkate, who has a mean serve index of 95.80. Bublik's recent performances have been dominant on clay, winning all three of his last matches without losing a set, which reflects his confidence and momentum heading into this match. On the other hand, Tristan Schoolkate's form index of 40.53 and Elo rating of 525.14 indicate a less favorable performance level. His surface strength index of 4.86 is significantly lower than Bublik's, and although his mean return index is slightly higher at 86.76, the overall gap in serve and performance metrics gives Bublik a distinct advantage. Schoolkate's recent matches have been a mix of outcomes, including a disappointing loss in his last match at Winston-Salem, where he failed to win a set.

Final Prediction

Bublik's strong serving ability and recent winning streak position him favorably against Schoolkate. The key factor to watch will be Bublik's serve, as it could dictate the pace of the match and influence Schoolkate's ability to respond effectively. With his current form and statistics, Bublik is poised to capitalize on any weaknesses presented by his opponent.