Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 32

Alexander Zverev vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #2
76%
VS

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rank: #80
24%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Ranking Trends

Alexander Zverev

  • Current Rank: #2 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #2 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #2 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #4 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #4 (2024-05-20)

Aleksandar Kovacevic

  • Current Rank: #80 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #77 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #96 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #75 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #88 (2024-05-20)

Player Metrics

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 54.2
ELO Rating: 6746.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1880.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.0
Clay: 56.1
Grass: 63.1
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 88.1

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Form Index: 49.0
ELO Rating: 660.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 164.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.4
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 5.0
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 85.4

Recent Matches

Alexander Zverev
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Rome 135 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Fils (2-0) clay Rome 105 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Vilius Gaubas (2-0) clay Rome 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) clay Rome 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Madrid 89 min

Aleksandar Kovacevic
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Vitaliy Sachko (2-0) clay Hamburg 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Max Wiskandt (2-0) clay Hamburg 98 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Taberner (1-2) clay Rome 137 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1-2) clay Madrid 146 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) clay Houston 140 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Zverev
vs
0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Alexander Zverev and Aleksandar Kovacevic is set to take place in Hamburg, Germany, as part of the Round of 32 on clay surface during an ATP 500 tournament. The predicted winner is Alexander Zverev, who has a win probability of 76.07%, compared to Kovacevic's 23.93%. The forecast anticipates a total of approximately 22 games played in this encounter.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 2nd, Alexander Zverev exhibits a strong form index of 54.23 and a high Elo rating of 6746.68. He comes into this match with zero cumulative fatigue, indicating a fresh state, and boasts a solid surface strength index of 56.14. Notably, Zverev's mean serve index stands at an impressive 98.31, significantly higher than Kovacevic's 96.61. Furthermore, Zverev's mean return index of 88.08 also surpasses Kovacevic's 85.40 by a margin greater than 5 points, highlighting his superior returning capabilities. In contrast, Aleksandar Kovacevic is currently ranked 80th with a form index of 49.01 and an Elo rating of 660.56. He carries a cumulative fatigue of 164 minutes from recent matches, which may impact his performance. Kovacevic has shown resilience by winning his last two matches in Hamburg, both in straight sets, but he faced a loss against Carlos Taberner in Rome prior to the tournament. Zverev's recent performances include a mixed result in Rome, where he lost to Lorenzo Musetti but secured a win against Arthur Fils, showcasing his competitive edge despite a setback.

Final Prediction

Zverev's higher ranking, superior statistics in serving and returning, and lack of fatigue provide him with a distinct advantage in this match. A critical factor to watch will be Zverev's ability to dominate on his serve, which could significantly tilt the match in his favor and potentially lead to a quick victory.