Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
74%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #91
26%
Expected Total Games: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

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Ranking Trends

Alexander Zverev

  • Current #3 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #2 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #2 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #2 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #4 2024-06-10

Corentin Moutet

  • Current #91 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #79 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #70 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #69 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #56 2024-06-10

Player Metrics

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 82.6
ELO Rating: 6492.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1880.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.0
Clay: 53.9
Grass: 63.1
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 88.2

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 55.4
ELO Rating: 1071.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1576.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 131.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 6.8
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 88.9

Recent Matches

Alexander Zverev
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jesper de Jong (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Corentin Moutet
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fabio Fognini (2-1) grass Stuttgart 131 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Clement Tabur (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (1-2) clay Rome 140 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (2-1) clay Rome 224 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Zverev
vs
0
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Stuttgart tournament, held on grass, Alexander Zverev faces Corentin Moutet. Zverev, ranked third in the world, comes in as the favored player with a 74.19% chance of winning compared to Moutet's 25.81%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 21.

Match Analysis

Alexander Zverev boasts a strong form index of 82.64 and an Elo rating of 6492, reflecting his high competitive level. His surface strength index of 63.06 indicates solid performance on grass courts, while his mean serve index of 98.12 suggests he possesses a powerful service game. In contrast, Corentin Moutet, ranked 91st, has a significantly lower form index of 55.44 and an Elo rating of 1071. His surface strength index of 6.78 highlights challenges on grass, compounded by a fatigue level of 131 minutes from previous matches. Notably, Zverev's mean serve index exceeds Moutet's by over 3 points, while their mean return indices are fairly close, with Zverev's at 88.21 against Moutet's 88.87. In their recent performances, Zverev's last three matches consisted of two wins and one loss, with his defeat coming against Novak Djokovic at Roland Garros, where he managed to win a set. Moutet, on the other hand, has had mixed results, including a win against Fabio Fognini in Stuttgart, but he struggled against higher-ranked opponents like Djokovic in the previous rounds of Roland Garros.

Final Prediction

Alexander Zverev's substantial advantages in ranking, form, and surface strength provide him with a decisive edge over Corentin Moutet. The key factor to watch during this match will be Zverev's service game, as his ability to dominate on serve is likely to dictate the flow and outcome of the match.

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