Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Popyrin comes in as the higher-ranked player (No. 60) with an Elo of 1602.7; his proprietary form index sits at 37.3. He arrives with zero minutes of fatigue in this event and a modest clay surface strength index of 26.6. Tabur, ranked 168 with an Elo of 1527.9, posts a stronger recent form index (48.6) but has already accumulated 174 minutes on court in Geneva and carries a lower surface strength index (17.4). Both players show very capable serving profiles — Popyrin’s mean serve index is 96.3 and Tabur’s 94.2 — and their return indices are similarly close, so neither has a clear serving edge on paper. Looking at recent results, Popyrin’s clay swing includes wins over Jakub Menšík and Matteo Berrettini in Rome before a straight-sets loss to Jannik Sinner; his matches ranged from 65 to 131 minutes. Tabur earned two wins in Geneva (including Marc-Andrea Hüsler and Raúl Brancaccio) after a prior loss in Houston; his last three matches have been longer overall and contribute to his tournament fatigue. The combination of Popyrin’s freshness and slightly higher Elo and surface index underpin the prediction despite Tabur’s recent momentum.