Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 32

Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #14
74%
VS

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #123
26%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

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Ranking Trends

Andrey Rublev

  • Current #14 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #9 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #8 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #6 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #6 2024-07-01

Adrian Mannarino

  • Current #123 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #144 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #66 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #53 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #24 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 77.4
ELO Rating: 2190.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1889.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 26.9
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 87.4

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 88.5
ELO Rating: 624.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1641.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 870.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Andrey Rublev
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Adrian Mannarino
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Adrian Mannarino
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Andrey Rublev and Adrian Mannarino is set to take place in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon, one of the most prestigious Grand Slam tournaments. The contest will unfold on grass, a surface that tends to favor players with strong serve and quick play. Rublev is predicted to emerge victorious, with a win probability of 74.03%, while Mannarino holds a 25.97% chance. The expected total number of games played in this match is 36.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev currently ranks 14th and boasts a form index of 77.44, alongside an Elo rating of 2189.96. His fatigue level stands at 348 minutes, which is relatively moderate at this stage, suggesting he is managing his energy well. Rublev's surface strength index of 26.92 indicates he is well-suited to grass courts. Notably, he has a significant advantage in the mean serve index, scoring 97.95 compared to Mannarino's 95.24, which exceeds the 5-point threshold. Both players' mean return indices are closely matched, with Rublev at 87.38 and Mannarino at 87.30. Adrian Mannarino, ranked 123rd, has been in impressive form, as demonstrated by his form index of 88.45 and an Elo rating of 624.58. He has displayed remarkable stamina, with a cumulative fatigue of 870 minutes. In his recent performances, Mannarino has triumphed in all three of his last matches at Wimbledon, showcasing his resilience and adaptability on grass. Conversely, Rublev's recent outings have been a mixed bag, with two wins but a notable loss against Laslo Djere, indicating some inconsistency.

Final Prediction

Rublev's superior ranking, serve index, and overall stronger performance metrics give him a distinct edge over Mannarino. A key factor to observe during the match will be Rublev's service game, as his ability to dominate on serve could significantly influence the match's outcome.

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