Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Rublev arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 15) with an Elo of 1764.9 and a form index of 56.6. He has been efficient this week, logging 299 minutes on court and showing a surface strength index of 44.9. Medjedovic, ranked 88th, posts a stronger recent form index (75.0) and an Elo of 1705.0 but carries significantly more fatigue after 536 minutes in the event; his surface strength index is 42.9. The mean serve index gap is notable — Medjedovic (98.45) to Rublev (76.62) — and the mean return indices also diverge (Medjedovic 89.45 vs Rublev 70.09), both differences exceeding 5 points; those contrasts suggest a clash between Medjedovic’s raw serving and return metrics and Rublev’s steadier overall profile. Both players have been clinical in Barcelona so far: Rublev has won his last three matches in straight sets (vs. Machac, Sonego, Navone), with match times of 85, 102 and 112 minutes. Medjedovic has matched that scoreline, beating Borges, de Minaur and Trungelliti in straight sets as well, with 90–95 minute matches; the heavier court load for Medjedovic is a clear physical factor heading into the semis.