Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Rublev enters with a clear edge in form and ratings: he is ranked 15 with an Elo of 2400.91 and a form index of 73.59, while Tsitsipas is ranked 32 with an Elo of 1392.85 and a form index of 49.23. Fatigue is similar but slightly higher for Tsitsipas (160 minutes vs Rublev’s 145 minutes), and Rublev also posts a higher surface strength index (14.55 vs 8.54). The disparity in serve and return metrics is notable: Rublev’s mean serve index (97.71) exceeds Tsitsipas’s (75.17) by more than 20 points, and his mean return index (90.18) is far above Tsitsipas’s (35.75), both differences well over the 5-point threshold. Over the last three matches both players have two wins and one loss in the sample provided. Tsitsipas won his past two Doha matches — defeating Daniil Medvedev and Moez Echargui — after a prior loss in Rotterdam; his recent match times ranged 76–84 minutes. Rublev is coming off straight-set wins in Doha over Fabian Marozsan and Jesper de Jong, with a longer recent loss at the Australian Open to Francisco Cerundolo (174 minutes). These results underline Rublev’s stronger short-term form at this event.