Beijing China Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Juncheng Shang vs Arthur Cazaux Prediction

Juncheng Shang

Rank: #138
50%
VS

Arthur Cazaux

Rank: #84
50%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Arthur Cazaux

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Ranking Trends

Juncheng Shang

  • Current #138 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #76 2025-06-23
  • 6 mo ago #58 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #50 2024-12-23
  • 12 mo ago #51 2024-09-30

Arthur Cazaux

  • Current #84 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #116 2025-06-23
  • 6 mo ago #118 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #63 2024-12-23
  • 12 mo ago #92 2024-09-30

Player Metrics

Juncheng Shang

Form Index: 25.0
ELO Rating: 957.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1525.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.5
Clay: 7.7
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.3

Arthur Cazaux

Form Index: 60.9
ELO Rating: 883.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1587.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 209.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.6
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Juncheng Shang
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

Arthur Cazaux
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Juncheng Shang
vs
0
Arthur Cazaux
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the ATP 500 tournament in Beijing, Juncheng Shang faces Arthur Cazaux on hard court. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Arthur Cazaux slightly favored to win, holding a probability of 50.14%, while Juncheng Shang has a 49.86% chance. The predicted total number of games played is set at 24.0, reflecting the anticipated competitiveness of the encounter.

Match Analysis

Juncheng Shang currently ranks 138th, with a form index of 25.04 and an Elo rating of 957.02. He has shown resilience on hard surfaces, evidenced by a surface strength index of 9.49. Notably, Shang's mean serve index stands at 97.15, while his mean return index is 86.32, indicating a strong serving capability. Arthur Cazaux, ranked 84th, carries a higher form index of 60.89 and an Elo rating of 883.93. His cumulative fatigue is higher at 209.0 minutes, which may influence his performance. Cazaux's surface strength index is slightly lower at 7.57, but his mean return index is marginally better at 86.45. In their recent performances, Juncheng Shang has had a mixed record, losing two out of his last three matches. His most recent defeat came against Brandon Nakashima, where he was unable to secure a set. Conversely, Arthur Cazaux has won two out of his last three matches, including a victory against Quentin Halys in Beijing, although he faced a challenging opponent in Corentin Moutet before that. This recent form is likely to bolster Cazaux’s confidence heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Arthur Cazaux holds a slight edge due to his recent form and higher form index, which suggests he is playing with more confidence than Shang. A key factor to watch will be how fatigue impacts Cazaux, as he has played more minutes in the tournament compared to Shang, who is currently fresh with no cumulative fatigue. This dynamic could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this closely matched encounter.

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