Arthur Fils vs Emilio Nava: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Fils arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 25) with a stronger Elo (1903 vs 1651) and a noticeably higher form index (86.63 vs 70.64). His surface strength index on clay (47.70) slightly edges Nava’s (41.78), and Fils’ mean return index (65.57) should give him an advantage in constructing rallies and breaking serve. Nava, however, carries a very high mean serve index (97.77) compared with Fils’ 76.10 — a gap greater than 5 points that could change the dynamics on his service games. Fatigue is also a clear factor: Fils has logged 170 minutes in the event so far while Nava has accumulated 277 minutes, which could blunt serve consistency late in points. Recent results reinforce those numbers. Fils is unbeaten across his last three matches, including wins in Barcelona over Andrey Rublev and Rafael Jodar and a longer, three-set win in Madrid over Ignacio Buse (170 minutes). Nava has won two straight in Madrid — a tight 179-minute win over Valentin Vacherot and a straight-sets victory against Jenson Brooksby — but he fell in Munich to Ben Shelton before this run. Those match times explain Nava’s higher cumulative fatigue and suggest endurance may be decisive.