Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Felix enters this match as the higher-ranked player (No. 9) with a markedly superior Elo (3806.19) versus Fils (rank 32, Elo 1438.66). Felix’s form index (66.86) also sits above Fils’s (57.64). Fatigue is an important angle: Felix has logged 283 minutes in the event so far compared with Fils’s 148 minutes, reflecting more grueling three-set battles in earlier rounds. On hard courts Felix’s surface strength index (26.60) is higher than Fils’s (11.24), though neither figure is extreme. Serve and return profiles point to a clear advantage for Felix. His mean serve index (98.57) exceeds Fils’s (70.36) by more than 5 points, and his mean return index (87.28) likewise beats Fils’s (45.56) by a sizeable margin — both gaps are significant and should determine key momentum swings. Over the last three matches Fils has steady recent form at Indian Wells with straight-set wins over Dino Prizmic and Marton Fucsovics after a loss to Carlos Alcaraz in Doha. Felix reached this stage via two long three-set wins (over Gael Monfils and Gabriel Diallo) and a prior loss to Daniil Medvedev in Dubai, indicating strong match toughness but higher court time.