Kitzbuhel Austria Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Arthur Rinderknech vs Facundo Bagnis Prediction

Arthur Rinderknech

Rank: #64
59%
VS

Facundo Bagnis

Rank: #1000
41%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Arthur Rinderknech

Ranking Trends

Arthur Rinderknech

  • Current Rank: #64 (2025-07-14)
  • 3 Months Ago: #76 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #61 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #61 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #64 (2024-07-22)

Facundo Bagnis

  • Current Rank: #1000 (None)
  • 3 Months Ago: #399 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #141 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #134 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #127 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Arthur Rinderknech

Form Index: 46.8
ELO Rating: 991.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 8.6
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 85.6

Facundo Bagnis

Form Index: 45.3
ELO Rating: 371.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1527.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 170.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.0
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 3.0
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Arthur Rinderknech
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Francesco Passaro (0-2) clay Gstaad 74 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Kamil Majchrzak (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Cristian Garin (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Zverev (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) grass Mallorca 112 min

Facundo Bagnis
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Thiago Monteiro (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Henrique Rocha (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Calvin Hemery (1-2) clay Gstaad 105 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (2-1) clay Gstaad 157 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ryan Peniston (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Arthur Rinderknech
vs
0
Facundo Bagnis
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Kitzbühel tournament, held on clay in Austria, Arthur Rinderknech is set to face Facundo Bagnis. With a predicted win probability of 59.36% for Rinderknech and 40.64% for Bagnis, the match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Arthur Rinderknech, currently ranked 64, holds a form index of 46.84 and an Elo rating of 991.24. He has demonstrated a strong mean serve index of 97.94, which is notably higher than Bagnis's mean serve index of 95.35, indicating that Rinderknech has a slight advantage in serving capabilities. Additionally, Rinderknech’s surface strength index of 7.55 suggests he is well-equipped to handle the clay courts, while Bagnis, ranked 1000 with a surface strength index of 5.13, may struggle against a more capable opponent. Notably, Rinderknech's mean return index of 85.58 also surpasses Bagnis’s 88.66, though this area is tighter. In their recent performances, Rinderknech has struggled, losing two consecutive matches, including a recent defeat in Gstaad. However, he did secure a win in a prior contest against Cristian Garin. In contrast, Bagnis comes into this match with momentum, having won his last two matches at Kitzbühel, both in straight sets. Despite this, the cumulative fatigue of 170 minutes from Bagnis’s matches could impact his endurance in a longer match against Rinderknech.

Final Prediction

Rinderknech’s superior serving and overall clay court ability position him as the favorite in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Rinderknech's serve against Bagnis's return game, which could dictate the flow of the match and ultimately determine the outcome.