Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

Ben Shelton enters the match with a notable advantage in several key metrics. His form index stands at 77.73, and his Elo rating is significantly higher at 1940.55, compared to Mannarino's 1046.12. Both players share the same cumulative fatigue level of 348 minutes, but Shelton's surface strength index of 15.88 and mean serve index of 97.93 place him in a stronger position, especially given that the difference in mean serve index exceeds 5 points. Mannarino's mean return index of 87.38 is higher than Shelton’s 84.56, suggesting he has a competent return game, but the overall disparity in serving capabilities may tilt the match in Shelton's favor. In their recent performances, Shelton has shown impressive form, winning his last two matches at the US Open without dropping a set, defeating Pablo Carreno Busta and Ignacio Buse. Conversely, Mannarino has also performed well, winning his last two matches but faced a tougher challenge from Jordan Thompson, where he lost a set. Both players are in good form, but Shelton's recent trajectory and superior metrics provide him with a significant edge.