Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Ben Shelton vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #8
60%
VS

Gabriel Diallo

Rank: #35
40%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

Ranking Trends

Ben Shelton

  • Current Rank: #8 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #13 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #20 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #14 (2024-07-22)

Gabriel Diallo

  • Current Rank: #35 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #78 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #86 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #87 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #169 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 76.4
ELO Rating: 1650.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1717.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 75.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 15.7
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 84.0

Gabriel Diallo

Form Index: 58.0
ELO Rating: 1325.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1618.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 73.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.6
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 8.8
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-0) hard Washington 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Marton Fucsovics (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Rinky Hijikata (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Gabriel Diallo
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) hard Washington 73 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (0-2) grass Mallorca 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Laslo Djere (2-1) grass Mallorca 107 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ben Shelton
vs
0
Gabriel Diallo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the ATP 500 tournament in Washington, D.C., Ben Shelton is set to face Gabriel Diallo on hard courts. The predicted winner is Ben Shelton, with a probability of winning at 59.84%, while Diallo has a 40.16% chance. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton, currently ranked 8th, boasts a solid form index of 76.43 and an Elo rating of 1650.87. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is 75 minutes, which is relatively manageable. Shelton's surface strength index stands at 13.38, indicating a strong performance on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 97.95 suggests he has a powerful serve that could dominate the match. In contrast, Gabriel Diallo is ranked 35th, with a form index of 58.04 and an Elo rating of 1325.72. Diallo's fatigue level is slightly lower at 73 minutes, but his surface strength index of 8.63 reveals he may struggle to match Shelton's power on this surface. Notably, there is a difference of nearly 2 points in their mean serve index, favoring Shelton. In their recent performances, Shelton has shown resilience with two wins out of three matches, including a convincing victory against Mackenzie McDonald in his last outing. Diallo, on the other hand, has also secured a win in his latest match against Fabian Marozsan but suffered a loss against Taylor Fritz prior to that. This inconsistency could play a role in the upcoming match, as Shelton seems to have regained his form more effectively.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton's higher ranking, superior form index, and powerful serving capabilities provide him with a distinct advantage over Gabriel Diallo. The key factor to watch will be Shelton's ability to maintain his serve and apply pressure on Diallo, who may find it challenging to respond effectively under such conditions.