Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 32

Benjamin Bonzi vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction

Benjamin Bonzi

Rank: #51
44%
VS

Arthur Rinderknech

Rank: #77
56%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Arthur Rinderknech

Player Metrics

Benjamin Bonzi

Form Index: 73.8
ELO Rating: 1180.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.4
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 6.8
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 86.3

Arthur Rinderknech

Form Index: 67.9
ELO Rating: 1086.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1578.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 8.8
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Benjamin Bonzi

  • Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Cincinnati 74 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-1) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-1) hard Cincinnati 166 min

Arthur Rinderknech

  • Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roberto Carballes Baena (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (0-2) hard Winston Salem 127 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Cincinnati 121 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (2-1) hard Cincinnati 157 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Benjamin Bonzi
vs
0
Arthur Rinderknech
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Benjamin Bonzi and Arthur Rinderknech in the Round of 32 at the 2025 US Open promises to be a tightly contested battle on hard courts in New York. The predicted winner is Arthur Rinderknech, with a 55.63% probability of victory, while Bonzi has a 44.37% chance. The anticipated total number of games played is around 38.

Match Analysis

In terms of ranking, Benjamin Bonzi holds a higher position at 51 compared to Rinderknech's 77. However, Bonzi's form index stands at 73.76, indicating a better recent performance compared to Rinderknech's 67.86. Elo ratings reflect a similar trend, with Bonzi rated at 1180.32 versus Rinderknech's 1086.18. Both players share the same level of cumulative fatigue at 348 minutes, which may impact their endurance during the match. The surface strength index also favors Bonzi slightly (10.38) over Rinderknech (9.31). Notably, Bonzi's mean serve index of 96.74 exceeds Rinderknech's 96.36 by more than 5 points, while the return indices are quite close (Bonzi at 86.32, Rinderknech at 85.61). Examining their recent performances, Bonzi has demonstrated resilience, winning the last two matches against formidable opponents like Daniil Medvedev and Marcos Giron, both in five-set contests. In contrast, Rinderknech also secured victories in his last two matches at the US Open, but his earlier performance at Winston-Salem resulted in a loss against Hamad Medjedovic, which may affect his confidence.

Final Prediction

Arthur Rinderknech is favored to win this matchup due to his slightly higher probability of victory and recent form, despite a lower rank. A critical factor to watch will be how both players manage their fatigue, as they have each spent equal time on court during the tournament, which could influence the match's outcome.