Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Brandon Nakashima vs Ethan Quinn Prediction

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #32
60%
VS

Ethan Quinn

Rank: #86
40%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

Ranking Trends

Brandon Nakashima

  • Current Rank: #32 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #32 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #35 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #38 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #55 (2024-07-22)

Ethan Quinn

  • Current Rank: #86 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #119 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #166 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #216 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #250 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 66.1
ELO Rating: 1207.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1591.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 11.7
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 84.0

Ethan Quinn

Form Index: 59.5
ELO Rating: 770.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 71.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.3
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 93.6
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Brandon Nakashima
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Yunchaokete Bu (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (1-2) grass London 142 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Evans (2-0) grass London 115 min

Ethan Quinn
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Christopher O'Connell (2-0) hard Washington 71 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Kamil Majchrzak (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Henry Searle (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (0-2) grass Mallorca 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) grass Mallorca 66 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Brandon Nakashima
vs
0
Ethan Quinn
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament in Washington, D.C., Brandon Nakashima is set to face off against Ethan Quinn on a hard surface. The predicted winner is Brandon Nakashima, with a win probability of 59.94% compared to Ethan Quinn's 40.06%. The estimated total number of games played in this match is projected to be around 24.

Match Analysis

Brandon Nakashima, currently ranked 32, has a form index of 66.1 and an Elo rating of 1207.55. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is at zero, indicating he is well-rested. Nakashima also boasts a strong surface strength index of 12.43 and a mean serve index of 98.00, which is significantly higher than Ethan Quinn's mean serve index of 93.64, reflecting a difference of over 5 points. However, Ethan has a slight edge in his return index, with a score of 86.04 compared to Nakashima's 84.03, although this margin is less significant. Ethan Quinn, ranked 86, shows a form index of 59.5 and a considerably lower Elo rating of 770.80. His recent performances have been mixed; he secured a win against Christopher O'Connell in his last match, whereas he faced defeats in two of his last three matches at Wimbledon. In contrast, Nakashima's latest results from Wimbledon include two victories but a tough loss against Lorenzo Sonego, showcasing resilience and competitive play.

Final Prediction

Brandon Nakashima's higher ranking, better recent form, and superior serve index give him a clear edge in this matchup against Ethan Quinn. A key factor to monitor will be Nakashima's ability to leverage his serve effectively, as this could dictate the flow of the match and potentially overwhelm Quinn's returning capabilities.