Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Brandon Nakashima vs Jesper de Jong Prediction

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #31
60%
VS

Jesper de Jong

Rank: #79
40%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

Player Metrics

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 43.9
ELO Rating: 1245.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1605.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 11.7
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 84.3

Jesper de Jong

Form Index: 83.7
ELO Rating: 829.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1597.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Brandon Nakashima

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Cincinnati 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Blockx (2-1) hard Cincinnati 143 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (1-2) hard Toronto 156 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) hard Toronto 112 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Washington 95 min

Jesper de Jong

  • Last Match: vs Mitchell Krueger (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Harold Mayot (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Vilius Gaubas (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Carlos Taberner (0-2) clay Umag 94 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-0) clay Umag 96 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Brandon Nakashima
vs
0
Jesper de Jong
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the US Open unfolds in New York, Brandon Nakashima faces Jesper de Jong in the Round of 128 on hard courts. The prediction leans towards Nakashima, with a 60.17% probability of victory compared to de Jong's 39.83%. The estimated total number of games played in this encounter is expected to be around 38.

Match Analysis

Brandon Nakashima, currently ranked 31 with a form index of 43.92, holds a significant advantage in terms of experience and recent performance. His Elo rating stands at 1245.95, indicative of a solid competitive level. Notably, Nakashima exhibits a surface strength index of 12.42, while de Jong, ranked 79 and with a form index of 83.67, has an Elo rating of 829.56 and a lower surface strength index of 6.28. The cumulative fatigue for de Jong is considerably higher at 522 minutes, which may impact his performance against a fresher Nakashima who has 0 minutes of fatigue from the current tournament. Furthermore, Nakashima's mean serve index of 98.06 surpasses de Jong's 95.27 by over 5 points, suggesting a more potent serve, while the return index difference is less than 5 points. In their recent performances, Nakashima's last three matches saw him struggle against higher-ranked opponents, including a loss to Alexander Zverev. However, he managed a win against Alexander Blockx, showcasing resilience. On the other hand, de Jong has been in formidable form at the US Open, winning all three of his recent matches convincingly without dropping a set. His current momentum and recent success could provide him with confidence heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Nakashima's higher ranking and superior serve index lend him a distinct advantage over de Jong, despite the latter's recent winning streak. The key factor to observe will be the impact of fatigue on de Jong's performance, as he faces a player with a strong serve and fresh legs in Nakashima.