Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Brandon Nakashima vs Yunchaokete Bu Prediction

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #34
64%
VS

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #71
36%
Expected Total Games: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

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Ranking Trends

Brandon Nakashima

  • Current #34 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #33 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #38 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #35 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #65 2024-07-01

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Current #71 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #67 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #65 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #69 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #197 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 50.2
ELO Rating: 1247.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1586.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 12.2
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 84.0

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 10.5
ELO Rating: 627.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1512.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Brandon Nakashima
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Yunchaokete Bu
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Laslo Djere (0-2) grass Mallorca 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Henry Searle (0-2) grass London 113 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Filip Misolic (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) clay Hamburg 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Luciano Darderi (0-2) clay Rome 111 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Brandon Nakashima
vs
0
Yunchaokete Bu
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The first-round match at Wimbledon between Brandon Nakashima and Yunchaokete Bu promises to be an interesting contest on the grass courts of Great Britain. With Nakashima currently ranked 34 and coming off a mixed recent performance, he is predicted to win with a probability of 64.26%. In contrast, Bu, ranked 71, has a win probability of 35.74%. The match is projected to have a total of 38 games played.

Match Analysis

Brandon Nakashima enters this match with a solid form index of 50.15, compared to Yunchaokete Bu's much lower index of 10.46, indicating a stark difference in current playing form. Nakashima's Elo rating of 1247 suggests a significant advantage over Bu's rating of 627. Moreover, Nakashima boasts a surface strength index of 12.17, while Bu's is considerably lower at 5.64, meaning Nakashima has a better adaptation to grass surfaces. The mean serve index is also in Nakashima's favor at 98.12 versus Bu's 96.25, though the difference is less than 5 points. However, Nakashima's mean return index of 84.02 is notably better than Bu's 86.21, presenting a tactical edge in returning serves. In their last three matches, Nakashima has shown resilience with two wins against Daniel Evans and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, although he recently lost to Jack Draper. In contrast, Bu has struggled significantly, losing all three of his recent matches, including two in straight sets against Laslo Djere and Henry Searle. This disparity in recent performance highlights Nakashima's greater ability to compete at a high level.

Final Prediction

Brandon Nakashima has a clear edge due to his superior form, ranking, and recent performances compared to Yunchaokete Bu. A key factor to watch will be Nakashima's ability to establish his serve early in the match, which could set the tone for a commanding victory.

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