Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Cameron Norrie vs Dominic Stricker Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #91
70%
VS

Dominic Stricker

Rank: #258
30%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Cameron Norrie

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 52.3
ELO Rating: 1120.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1677.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 153.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.9
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 88.6

Dominic Stricker

Form Index: 21.0
ELO Rating: 166.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 1.5
Grass: 1.7
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 81.9

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) clay Geneva 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ergi Kirkin (2-0) clay Geneva 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) clay Rome 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Christopher O'Connell (2-0) clay Rome 76 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Dusan Lajovic (1-2) clay Rome 123 min

Dominic Stricker

  • Last Match: vs James Duckworth (0-3) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) hard Auckland 81 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Basel 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) hard Basel 67 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-2) hard Stockholm 71 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cameron Norrie
vs
0
Dominic Stricker
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Geneva tournament, set on clay, Cameron Norrie faces Dominic Stricker. With a 69.83% probability of winning compared to Stricker's 30.17%, Norrie is favored to advance. The match is predicted to consist of approximately 22 games.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie, currently ranked 91 with a form index of 52.28, is experiencing a solid run in the Geneva tournament, having won his last two matches convincingly without dropping a set. His Elo rating stands at 1120.30, with a cumulative fatigue of 153 minutes, indicating he has been active but remains competitive. Notably, Norrie boasts a surface strength index of 8.94 and excels in his serving, with a mean serve index of 97.48, significantly outperforming Stricker, whose mean serve index is 95.28. This difference of over 2 points suggests Norrie's serve may play a pivotal role in the match. On the other hand, Dominic Stricker, ranked 258, has struggled recently, holding a low form index of 20.99 and an Elo rating of 166.16. He has yet to win a match in his last three outings, all on hard courts, and enters this contest with zero fatigue, having not yet played in the current tournament. Stricker’s surface strength index of 1.52 and a mean return index of 81.90 indicate he may face challenges against Norrie’s solid serve and return game, which has a notable 6.72 point advantage.

Final Prediction

Cameron Norrie's recent form, combined with his superior serving capabilities and surface strengths, gives him a distinct edge over Dominic Stricker. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Norrie can leverage his serve against Stricker's return game, which has shown vulnerabilities in recent matches.