Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Cameron Norrie vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #28
58%
VS

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #67
42%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Cameron Norrie

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 72.2
ELO Rating: 1464.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1616.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 80
Surface Strength:
Hard: 36.9
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 36.8
Serve Rating: 45.8
Return Rating: 65.8

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 72.2
ELO Rating: 913.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1670.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 96
Surface Strength:
Hard: 34.7
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 21.4
Serve Rating: 100.0
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) hard Auckland 80 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (1-2) hard Brisbane 148 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-1) hard Brisbane 155 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) hard Metz 120 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Kyrian Jacquet (2-1) hard Metz 145 min

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (2-0) hard Auckland 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (1-2) hard Brisbane 107 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (2-1) hard Brisbane 133 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (2-1) hard Brisbane 131 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Vitaliy Sachko (0-2) hard Metz 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cameron Norrie
vs
0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Auckland tournament in New Zealand, Cameron Norrie is set to face Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard on hard court. Norrie, ranked 28th, is favored to win with a probability of 58.16%, while Perricard has a 41.84% chance of pulling off the upset. The predicted total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie holds a slight edge in ranking at 28 compared to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's 67. Both players have comparable form indexes, with Norrie at 72.22 and Perricard slightly higher at 72.23, indicating they are both in good shape leading into this match. However, Norrie's Elo rating of 1464.26 is significantly higher than Perricard's 913.93, suggesting a disparity in experience and consistency at higher competition levels. Fatigue may play a role, as Norrie has spent 80 minutes on court in this tournament, while Perricard has logged 96 minutes, potentially affecting his performance. Norrie's surface strength index of 36.92 is marginally better than Perricard's 34.72. Notably, Norrie has a mean serve index of 45.83, while Perricard boasts an impressive 100.0, indicating a significant advantage in serving capability. Conversely, Norrie's mean return index of 65.81 far surpasses Perricard's 87.38, showcasing his superior return game. In their last three matches, Norrie won two out of three, with a convincing win over Hugo Gaston in his most recent match. Perricard also secured a strong victory against Roberto Bautista Agut but has had mixed results against other opponents.

Final Prediction

Cameron Norrie's higher experience level and superior return game provide him with a distinct advantage entering this match. A critical factor to observe will be how effectively Perricard can utilize his powerful serve against Norrie's returning prowess, which could be pivotal in determining the match outcome.