Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 32

Mattia Bellucci vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Mattia Bellucci

Rank: #73
56%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #61
44%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Mattia Bellucci

Player Metrics

Mattia Bellucci

Form Index: 72.0
ELO Rating: 822.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1547.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.3
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 6.9
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 86.2

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 78.3
ELO Rating: 1365.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1710.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 10.9
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 88.6

Recent Matches

Mattia Bellucci

  • Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Oliver Crawford (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Billy Harris (0-2) grass Eastbourne 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-0) grass Eastbourne 68 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-0) grass Eastbourne 60 min

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Billy Harris (0-2) grass Eastbourne 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Mattia Bellucci
vs
0
Cameron Norrie
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 32 matchup at Wimbledon features Mattia Bellucci against Cameron Norrie, taking place on the grass courts of Great Britain. With a predicted winner of Mattia Bellucci, he holds a 56.13% probability of victory compared to Norrie's 43.87%. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a predicted total of 37 games played.

Match Analysis

Mattia Bellucci currently ranks 73rd, showing a solid form index of 72.04 and an Elo rating of 822.05. His cumulative fatigue stands at 348 minutes, reflecting his recent matches. Bellucci's surface strength index is 6.86, indicating his ability to perform on grass, while his mean serve index of 97.58 gives him a notable advantage over Norrie's mean serve index of 95.62, with a difference of over 5 points. Conversely, his mean return index of 86.16 is slightly lower than Norrie's 88.58, though the difference here is within 5 points. Cameron Norrie, ranked 61st, has a higher form index of 78.27 and a significantly better Elo rating of 1365.04. While both players share the same fatigue level, Norrie's surface strength index of 10.88 suggests strong performance capabilities on grass. In their last three matches, Norrie has shown resilience, winning his last two matches at Wimbledon, including a tough contest against Frances Tiafoe. Bellucci also secured victories in his last two matches at the tournament, demonstrating his competitive edge, though he faced a defeat in his earlier Eastbourne match against Billy Harris.

Final Prediction

Mattia Bellucci's slight edge in serving ability and recent victories position him favorably against Cameron Norrie. The key factor to observe will be Bellucci's serve effectiveness, as it may determine his success against Norrie's returning capabilities in this pivotal match.