Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Cameron Norrie vs Roberto Bautista Agut Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #61
42%
VS

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #42
58%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Roberto Bautista Agut

Ranking Trends

Cameron Norrie

  • Current Rank: #61 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #86 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #49 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #52 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #42 (2024-07-01)

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Current Rank: #42 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #52 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #51 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #57 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #112 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 56.5
ELO Rating: 1277.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1701.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 9.2
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 88.7

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 50.8
ELO Rating: 1291.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1616.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 9.7
Grass: 10.7
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Billy Harris (0-2) grass Eastbourne 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Federico Agustin Gomez (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniil Medvedev (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Roberto Bautista Agut
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) grass Mallorca 103 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Bernard Tomic (2-0) grass Mallorca 67 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-1) grass Mallorca 154 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) grass London 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (2-1) grass London 146 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Cameron Norrie
vs
0
Roberto Bautista Agut
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The first round of Wimbledon 2025 sees British player Cameron Norrie taking on Spain's Roberto Bautista Agut on the grass courts of Great Britain. With a predicted total of 37 games played, Bautista Agut is favored to win with a probability of 57.76%, while Norrie has a 42.24% chance of success.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie currently holds a rank of 61, with a form index of 56.50 and an Elo rating of 1277.79. His surface strength index stands at 9.22, indicating moderate proficiency on grass. Notably, his mean serve index of 97.18 is higher than Bautista Agut's mean serve index of 95.54, but the difference is marginal. Norrie's mean return index of 88.70 also exceeds Bautista Agut's 86.96, suggesting he may have an edge in return games. Conversely, Bautista Agut, ranked 42 with a form index of 50.80 and an Elo rating of 1291.28, has shown resilience recently, despite a recent loss against Alex Michelsen. In their last three matches, Norrie has struggled, losing two consecutive matches, including a disappointing performance against Novak Djokovic at Roland Garros. His only win came against Jacob Fearnley, but the overall trend indicates challenges in finding form. Bautista Agut, meanwhile, has had mixed results, winning two matches in Mallorca before falling to Michelsen, which may imply he’s still searching for consistency but possesses recent grass-court experience.

Final Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut's slight edge in Elo rating and overall experience on grass gives him a favorable position going into this match. A key factor to monitor will be how effectively Norrie can utilize his serve against Bautista Agut's returning capabilities, which could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.